SAL 9000
SAL 9000
Betting research that reasons
Private Beta
HomeHow SAL WorksLegal
SAL 9000SAL 9000 - "I'm sorry, Dave. I'm afraid I can't let you bet on the Jets."
© 2026 DCDC, LLC. All rights reserved.·Legal Disclaimer
Back to Games
Memphis GrizzliesMemphis Grizzlies21-36 #11
@
Dallas MavericksDallas Mavericks21-37 #12
Live
Sat, Feb 28 • 1:41 AM|✓2/27 8:14 PM|1381 wagers• 727 props
Game Lines
SPR
ML
O/U
Grizzlies
--
💤+154+154—
--
Mavericks
--
💤-190-190—
--

Key Themes

Read full game script

SAL's Picks

🔒 SAL's Lock🎯 T1

Cam Spencer Over 1.5 threes

In this game, we expect a high-scoring matchup, with a game total set at 238.5, indicating increased potential for three-point attempts. Cam Spencer's recent performance, where he maintains...

-104+16.4% EVScore: 62%
🌖 Moon Shot🚀 T3

Scotty Pippen Jr double double

This bet on Scotty Pippen Jr achieving a double-double is not compelling given the evidence from both agents. Although the game is expected to be high-scoring, his current season averages...

+1480+5.7% EVScore: 48%

📊Analysis Quality(7 actionable / 741 total)

Core Value Bet
Count: 6 (1%)
Avg EV: 16.1%
Range: 10.9% - 24.8%
Conviction Bet
Count: 1 (0%)
Avg EV: 14.6%
Range: 14.6% - 14.6%
Asymmetric Shot
Count: 23 (3%)
Avg EV: 3.2%
Range: -14.5% - 8.9%
💤 711
Noise Bet
Count: 711 (96%)
Avg EV: -0.9%
Range: -87.0% - 76.1%
🎯Core
6 (1%)
🧠Conviction
1 (0%)
🚀Asymmetric
23 (3%)
💤Noise
711 (96%)

Tier Distribution by Prop Type

Prop Type
🎯T1
🧠T2
🚀T3
💤T4
Total
Points
2–1294297
Rebounds
1––136137
3-Pointers
3––6669
Assists
–1–6667
Method Of First Basket
–––4343
Total611605613
Intensity = count relative to max
T1-3 (Heat)
T4 (Ice)
🦎

SAL's Game Script

Full betting analysis and game context

Memphis' defensive architecture is fundamentally broken, and Dallas' addition of Khris Middleton to a rotation already featuring Naji Marshall (65.2% FG, 15.6 PPG last five games) and P.J. Washington (54.2% FG, 8.0 RPG) creates a spacing problem the Grizzlies cannot solve. Yes, Dallas is in free fall at home with six consecutive losses, but that streak occurred against playoff-quality defenses (Sacramento, Minnesota, Indiana, Brooklyn). Memphis sits at 21-36 with a -2.7 point differential—they're the structural mismatch that stops losing streaks, not extends them. The Mavericks' home woes represent execution variance against competent opponents, not a sustainable dysfunction that persists against inferior competition. The critical edge manifests in three dimensions. First, Marshall's recent perimeter explosion directly targets Memphis' primary weakness; their inability to contain multi-level scorers means he should establish rhythm early. Second, Middleton's return provides the secondary shot creation and floor spacing Dallas desperately needed in their home losses—offensive complexity their recent opponents could defend, but Memphis cannot. Third, P.J. Washington's rebounding dominance (8.0 per game) and Daniel Gafford's elite finishing (77.8% FG) exploit Memphis' interior vulnerabilities in ways the Grizzlies lack personnel to answer. GG Jackson (8.4 PPG, 3.6 RPG) cannot defend the perimeter-to-paint pipeline Dallas will establish. The...

Analysis generated 2/27/2026, 8:14:14 PM

📊SAL's Edge Analysis

EV100%Story50%Pro70%Bal85%Score50%
Edge over market odds
Fits game narrative
Bullish agent confidence
Pro vs Anti consensus
Overall quality metric
Core ValuePlayer Prop

Cam Spencer Over 6.5 rebounds assists

+15.0%edge
vs All WagersTop 3%
vs Core ValueTop 17%
Elite edge among all analyzed wagers
Odds
-154
Implied
61%
SAL Est.
76%
EV
24.8%
1 of 30 wagers

Top Individual Bets(30 of 741)

Book:
Bet
Cam Spencer Over 6.5 rebounds assists
+24.8%-154
🎯FanDuel • rebounds assists
🎯
Cam Spencer Over 6.5 rebounds assists
FanDuel • rebounds assists
+24.8%
50.40
-154
Cam Spencer Over 1.5 threes
+16.4%-104
🎯FanDuel • threes
🎯
Cam Spencer Over 1.5 threes
FanDuel • threes
+16.4%
61.90
-104
Cam Spencer Over 1.5 threes
+16.2%-105
🎯BetMGM • threes
🎯
Cam Spencer Over 1.5 threes
BetMGM • threes
+16.2%
61.60
-105
Naji Marshall Under 3.5 assists
+14.6%+125
🧠BetMGM • assists
🧠
Naji Marshall Under 3.5 assists
BetMGM • assists
+14.6%
40.60
+125
Cam Spencer Over 1.5 threes
+14.4%-113
🎯DraftKings • threes
🎯
Cam Spencer Over 1.5 threes
DraftKings • threes
+14.4%
59.30
-113
Cam Spencer Over 12.5 points rebounds
+13.9%-115
🎯BetMGM • points rebounds
🎯
Cam Spencer Over 12.5 points rebounds
BetMGM • points rebounds
+13.9%
58.70
-115
Cam Spencer Over 12.5 points rebounds
+10.9%-130
🎯DraftKings • points rebounds
🎯
Cam Spencer Over 12.5 points rebounds
DraftKings • points rebounds
+10.9%
54.90
-130
Cam Spencer Double Double
+8.9%+2500
🚀DraftKings • double double
🚀
Cam Spencer Double Double
DraftKings • double double
+8.9%
39.80
+2500
Cam Spencer Double Double
+8.0%+2000
🚀FanDuel • double double
🚀
Cam Spencer Double Double
FanDuel • double double
+8.0%
38.60
+2000
Brandon Williams Double Double
+7.8%+910
🚀DraftKings • double double
🚀
Brandon Williams Double Double
DraftKings • double double
+7.8%
38.40
+910
Brandon Williams Double Double
+6.6%+800
🚀FanDuel • double double
🚀
Brandon Williams Double Double
FanDuel • double double
+6.6%
36.80
+800
Cam Spencer Double Double
+6.5%+1500
🚀BetMGM • double double
🚀
Cam Spencer Double Double
BetMGM • double double
+6.5%
36.60
+1500
G.G. Jackson Double Double
+6.2%+850
🚀DraftKings • double double
🚀
G.G. Jackson Double Double
DraftKings • double double
+6.2%
41.10
+850
Khris Middleton Double Double
+6.2%+1600
🚀DraftKings • double double
🚀
Khris Middleton Double Double
DraftKings • double double
+6.2%
43.30
+1600
Scotty Pippen Jr Double Double
+5.7%+1480
🚀DraftKings • double double
🚀
Scotty Pippen Jr Double Double
DraftKings • double double
+5.7%
48.40
+1480
G.G. Jackson Double Double
+5.0%+750
🚀FanDuel • double double
🚀
G.G. Jackson Double Double
FanDuel • double double
+5.0%
39.40
+750
Max Christie Double Double
+4.0%+1900
🚀BetMGM • double double
🚀
Max Christie Double Double
BetMGM • double double
+4.0%
36.70
+1900
Khris Middleton Double Double
+3.7%+1100
🚀BetMGM • double double
🚀
Khris Middleton Double Double
BetMGM • double double
+3.7%
40.20
+1100
Naji Marshall Double Double
+3.6%+550
🚀FanDuel • double double
🚀
Naji Marshall Double Double
FanDuel • double double
+3.6%
40.70
+550
Daniel Gafford Double Double
+3.3%+427
🚀DraftKings • double double
🚀
Daniel Gafford Double Double
DraftKings • double double
+3.3%
45.60
+427
Khris Middleton Double Double
+3.0%+1000
🚀FanDuel • double double
🚀
Khris Middleton Double Double
FanDuel • double double
+3.0%
39.20
+1000
Scotty Pippen Jr Double Double
+2.9%+1000
🚀BetMGM • double double
🚀
Scotty Pippen Jr Double Double
BetMGM • double double
+2.9%
44.60
+1000
Taylor Hendricks Double Double
+2.9%+1000
🚀DraftKings • double double
🚀
Taylor Hendricks Double Double
DraftKings • double double
+2.9%
39.30
+1000
Naji Marshall Double Double
+2.6%+510
🚀DraftKings • double double
🚀
Naji Marshall Double Double
DraftKings • double double
+2.6%
39.40
+510
Scotty Pippen Jr Double Double
+2.5%+950
🚀FanDuel • double double
🚀
Scotty Pippen Jr Double Double
FanDuel • double double
+2.5%
44.10
+950
Daniel Gafford Double Double
+1.0%+370
🚀FanDuel • double double
🚀
Daniel Gafford Double Double
FanDuel • double double
+1.0%
42.60
+370
Taylor Hendricks Double Double
+0.9%+800
🚀FanDuel • double double
🚀
Taylor Hendricks Double Double
FanDuel • double double
+0.9%
36.60
+800
Naji Marshall Double Double
-0.0%+425
🚀BetMGM • double double
🚀
Naji Marshall Double Double
BetMGM • double double
-0.0%
36.00
+425
Daniel Gafford Double Double
-2.7%+300
🚀BetMGM • double double
🚀
Daniel Gafford Double Double
BetMGM • double double
-2.7%
44.00
+300
Khris Middleton Over 19.5 points alternate
-14.5%+400
🚀FanDuel • points alternate
🚀
Khris Middleton Over 19.5 points alternate
FanDuel • points alternate
-14.5%
41.70
+400
SAL 9000

Full Analysis Available to Members

Request access to SAL 9000 to unlock full analysis for every game, plus the Parlay Builder, Portfolio Optimizer, and more.

Free to request — limited seats available

Return to HomepageLook for ⭐Featured games