Back to Memphis Grizzlies @ Dallas Mavericks
Max Christie double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+1900— stable
player double double
Max Christie double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+1900— stable
player double double
36.70
Composite Score
+4.0%
Net EV
35.00
Narrative Fit
15.00
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
Given the slight positive Net EV of 0.04, the bet on Max Christie achieving a double-double doesn't seem favorable. The Dallas Mavericks are facing a competitive matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies, which is expected to produce a fast-paced game, but Christie's limited rebounding averages and recent performance trends suggest he is unlikely to significantly boost his output. The anti agent's stronger narrative support around Christie's performance limits makes this a risky wager despite the marginal edge.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 15%
Evidence
- →STATS: Max Christie has averaged 8.0 points and 2.2 rebounds over his last five games, indicating he has the scoring ability and at least some rebounding potential to approach double-digits in both categories.
- →MATCHUP: The Memphis Grizzlies have struggled defensively, allowing a high number of rebounds and points, which could create opportunities for Christie to increase both his scoring and rebounding totals.
- →NARRATIVE: With a high game total of 238.5, the fast-paced nature of the game is likely to lead to more possessions, increasing the chances for Christie to accumulate both points and rebounds in a high-scoring environment.
- →TREND: Recent outings show Christie playing a solid 25.2 minutes per game, which highlights that he is receiving sufficient playing time to impact both scoring and rebounding totals.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Dallas Mavericks are in a competitive match against a team with the same poor record (both teams are below .500), which suggests that the game will be closely contested and Christie may log more minutes if the game stays tight.
Thesis: moderate
Market: slightly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 95%
Evidence
- →STATS: Max Christie's averages of 9.6 points, 3.3 rebounds, and 1.9 assists make achieving a double-double quite unlikely, as he would need to significantly increase both rebounds and assists without any supporting data showing he can do so.
- →MATCHUP: The Memphis Grizzlies are generally strong defensively, particularly in the perimeter defense against guards, which could limit Christie's scoring and assists opportunities in this matchup.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the Dallas Mavericks' current struggles with a recent losing streak, the game dynamics may not favor Christie getting higher minutes or production if the game stays close or becomes a blowout, which typically results in reduced output for role players.
- →TREND: In his last five games, Christie has not reached double figures in rebounds and has significantly underperformed with only 2.2 rebounds and 0.8 assists per game, illustrating a consistent underperformance relative to the double-double requirement.
- →SITUATIONAL: Christie’s average minutes of 25.2 per game indicate a limited role that hinders his ability to accumulate the stats necessary for a double-double, especially if the game script leads to reduced playing time due to a potential blowout scenario.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 15%
Evidence
- →STATS: Max Christie has averaged 8.0 points and 2.2 rebounds over his last five games, indicating he has the scoring ability and at least some rebounding potential to approach double-digits in both categories.
- →MATCHUP: The Memphis Grizzlies have struggled defensively, allowing a high number of rebounds and points, which could create opportunities for Christie to increase both his scoring and rebounding totals.
- →NARRATIVE: With a high game total of 238.5, the fast-paced nature of the game is likely to lead to more possessions, increasing the chances for Christie to accumulate both points and rebounds in a high-scoring environment.
- →TREND: Recent outings show Christie playing a solid 25.2 minutes per game, which highlights that he is receiving sufficient playing time to impact both scoring and rebounding totals.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Dallas Mavericks are in a competitive match against a team with the same poor record (both teams are below .500), which suggests that the game will be closely contested and Christie may log more minutes if the game stays tight.
Thesis: moderate
Market: slightly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
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