Back to Memphis Grizzlies @ Dallas Mavericks
Taylor Hendricks double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+800— stable
player double double
Taylor Hendricks double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+800— stable
player double double
36.60
Composite Score
+0.9%
Net EV
35.00
Narrative Fit
3.30
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
In this matchup between the Memphis Grizzlies and Dallas Mavericks, the narrative indicates a competitive game, yet Taylor Hendricks has struggled to reach double-digit points and rebounds consistently. With the Mavericks' defensive strategy limiting boards and Hendricks' limited playing time, it seems unlikely he will achieve a double-double. The Net EV score of 0.01 reflects that while there's slight value, the stronger narrative against this bet suggests it's best to avoid engaging at this price.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 15%
Evidence
- →STATS: Taylor Hendricks has averaged 2.6 rebounds per game over his last five games, which indicates he is close to contributing significant rebounding numbers needed for a double-double.
- →MATCHUP: The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing an average of 115.4 points per game this season, suggesting a fast-paced game where Hendricks could accumulate stats across multiple categories.
- →NARRATIVE: With both teams struggling and low playoff positioning, the game is likely to be competitive, potentially resulting in Hendricks playing increased minutes, which he needs to achieve a double-double.
- →TREND: In his last game against the Utah Jazz, Hendricks played 27 minutes, which is significantly higher than his average minutes, signaling potential for increased usage, potentially leading to a double-double.
- →SITUATIONAL: The high total of 238.5 indicates a potential for a high-scoring affair, which might give Hendricks more opportunities to rack up both points and rebounds, thus helping him reach a double-double.
Thesis: moderate
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: data_source_1, data_source_2
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 90%
Evidence
- →STATS: Taylor Hendricks has averaged only 2.6 rebounds per game and 1.0 assists per game in his last five games, falling short of the double-double threshold in both categories.
- →MATCHUP: The Dallas Mavericks have a defensive strategy that focuses on limiting offensive rebounds, which means Hendricks, a forward, may struggle to get the boards needed for a double-double.
- →NARRATIVE: With a game total of 238.5 and the spread indicating a relatively close game, it's likely that both teams will play their main rotations heavily, meaning limited opportunities for Hendricks to accumulate the minutes or stats needed for a double-double.
- →TREND: Over his last five games, Hendricks has not even reached double digits in either points or rebounds in multiple instances, highlighting an alarming trend of underperformance.
- →SITUATIONAL: Given that Hendricks has seen his average minutes drop to 15.8 per game recently, this limited playing time significantly hinders any possibility of achieving a double-double in this game.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 15%
Evidence
- →STATS: Taylor Hendricks has averaged 2.6 rebounds per game over his last five games, which indicates he is close to contributing significant rebounding numbers needed for a double-double.
- →MATCHUP: The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing an average of 115.4 points per game this season, suggesting a fast-paced game where Hendricks could accumulate stats across multiple categories.
- →NARRATIVE: With both teams struggling and low playoff positioning, the game is likely to be competitive, potentially resulting in Hendricks playing increased minutes, which he needs to achieve a double-double.
- →TREND: In his last game against the Utah Jazz, Hendricks played 27 minutes, which is significantly higher than his average minutes, signaling potential for increased usage, potentially leading to a double-double.
- →SITUATIONAL: The high total of 238.5 indicates a potential for a high-scoring affair, which might give Hendricks more opportunities to rack up both points and rebounds, thus helping him reach a double-double.
Thesis: moderate
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: data_source_1, data_source_2
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