Back to Memphis Grizzlies @ Dallas Mavericks
Brandon Williams double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+800— stable
player double double
Brandon Williams double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+800— stable
player double double
36.80
Composite Score
+6.6%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
25.70
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
The evidence for Brandon Williams achieving a double-double hinges on him increasing his usage due to the Grizzlies' recent struggles. However, his low averages over the last five games, coupled with the Mavericks' strong defensive presence and previous poor performance against them, suggest that reaching double digits in points and assists is unlikely. The Net EV of 0.07 indicates some value, but it is not compelling enough to warrant a bet with significant confidence, considering the opposing evidence against this wager.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 30%
Evidence
- →STATS: Brandon Williams has averaged 4.6 assists and 2.0 rebounds over his last 5 games, providing a solid foundation for achieving a double-double if he maintains or increases his usage and minutes.
- →MATCHUP: The Dallas Mavericks have shown defensive weaknesses, often allowing opposing guards to score and assist effectively, which can benefit Williams's chances of accumulating his required stats.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the high total of 238.5 for the game, the expected pace suggests that there will be more scoring opportunities that can lead Williams to reach double figures in both points and assists.
- →TREND: Over his recent games against Dallas, Williams has shown potential, including a notable performance with 3 rebounds and 4 assists in a prior matchup, indicating he has previously achieved close to the necessary stats.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Memphis Grizzlies are currently on a three-game losing streak, which might lead to an increased reliance on key players like Williams to produce, thus increasing his chances to achieve a double-double.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: url1, url2
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 90%
Evidence
- →STATS: Brandon Williams has averaged only 2.0 rebounds and 4.6 assists over the last five games, suggesting he struggles to consistently reach double digits in both categories necessary for a double-double.
- →MATCHUP: The Dallas Mavericks typically have a strong defensive presence, which may limit Williams' ability to score and assist effectively, hindering his chances of achieving a double-double.
- →NARRATIVE: Given that both teams are underperforming this season and have a high chance for a tightly contested game, there may not be enough possessions for Williams to accumulate the necessary stats for a double-double.
- →TREND: In the last matchup with the Mavericks, Williams recorded only 2 rebounds and 1 assist. His previous pattern indicates difficulty against this opponent, making a double-double highly unlikely.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Memphis Grizzlies are currently on a three-game losing streak, which could lead to less confidence and fewer minutes for Williams if he does not perform well early in the game.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 30%
Evidence
- →STATS: Brandon Williams has averaged 4.6 assists and 2.0 rebounds over his last 5 games, providing a solid foundation for achieving a double-double if he maintains or increases his usage and minutes.
- →MATCHUP: The Dallas Mavericks have shown defensive weaknesses, often allowing opposing guards to score and assist effectively, which can benefit Williams's chances of accumulating his required stats.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the high total of 238.5 for the game, the expected pace suggests that there will be more scoring opportunities that can lead Williams to reach double figures in both points and assists.
- →TREND: Over his recent games against Dallas, Williams has shown potential, including a notable performance with 3 rebounds and 4 assists in a prior matchup, indicating he has previously achieved close to the necessary stats.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Memphis Grizzlies are currently on a three-game losing streak, which might lead to an increased reliance on key players like Williams to produce, thus increasing his chances to achieve a double-double.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: url1, url2
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