Back to Memphis Grizzlies @ Dallas Mavericks
Khris Middleton double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+1600— stable
player double double
Khris Middleton double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+1600— stable
player double double
43.30
Composite Score
+6.2%
Net EV
35.00
Narrative Fit
22.40
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
The expectation for a high-scoring game with a total set at 238.5 indicates potential for offensive production, but Khris Middleton's current performance trend and limited minutes undermine his chances of accumulating the necessary stats for a double-double. Given his averages of only 4.0 rebounds and 2.6 assists in recent games and the Mavericks' defensive strength against forwards, the evidence suggests that he will struggle to achieve this feat. The Net EV of 0.06 reflects a slight underpricing, but the stronger narrative against this wager makes it prudent to pass.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 15%
Evidence
- →STATS: Khris Middleton is averaging 4.0 rebounds and 2.6 assists in his last 5 games, showing he is consistently contributing in multiple categories.
- →MATCHUP: The Memphis Grizzlies have a relatively weak defense, which could allow Middleton to find more scoring opportunities as well as more chances to assist with offensive plays.
- →NARRATIVE: With a high game total of 238.5, this matchup is expected to be high-paced, leading to increased opportunities for Middleton to accumulate both points and assists.
- →TREND: Middleton's scoring has recently been lower, averaging 7.0 points over his last 5 games, but the high-paced nature of the game against the Grizzlies could rejuvenate his offensive output, assisting him in achieving a double-double.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Dallas Mavericks are playing at home, where they often perform better and where momentum could benefit Middleton as he plays with a motivated team aiming to break out of their recent slump.
Thesis: moderate
Market: slightly disagree
Sources: source1, source2
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 90%
Evidence
- →STATS: Khris Middleton has averaged only 4.0 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game in the last five games, making it unlikely for him to reach the combined total of 10 in these categories needed for a double-double.
- →MATCHUP: The Dallas Mavericks have been defensively solid against forwards, limiting their scoring and assist opportunities, which could further hinder Middleton's ability to accumulate the necessary stats.
- →NARRATIVE: With a high-scoring total of 238.5 expected in the game, it is likely that the offensive flow will go through ball-dominant players, reducing Middleton's opportunities to score and contribute assists or rebounds significantly.
- →TREND: Middleton's recent performance shows a significant drop with an average of only 7.0 points per game in the last five games, indicating he is underperforming relative to what is required for a double-double.
- →SITUATIONAL: Middleton's current average of 21.2 minutes per game does not provide enough time on the court to accumulate the necessary statistics to reach a double-double, especially considering potential game flow or substitutions.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: url1, url2
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 15%
Evidence
- →STATS: Khris Middleton is averaging 4.0 rebounds and 2.6 assists in his last 5 games, showing he is consistently contributing in multiple categories.
- →MATCHUP: The Memphis Grizzlies have a relatively weak defense, which could allow Middleton to find more scoring opportunities as well as more chances to assist with offensive plays.
- →NARRATIVE: With a high game total of 238.5, this matchup is expected to be high-paced, leading to increased opportunities for Middleton to accumulate both points and assists.
- →TREND: Middleton's scoring has recently been lower, averaging 7.0 points over his last 5 games, but the high-paced nature of the game against the Grizzlies could rejuvenate his offensive output, assisting him in achieving a double-double.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Dallas Mavericks are playing at home, where they often perform better and where momentum could benefit Middleton as he plays with a motivated team aiming to break out of their recent slump.
Thesis: moderate
Market: slightly disagree
Sources: source1, source2
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