Back to Memphis Grizzlies @ Dallas Mavericks
Khris Middleton double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+1100— stable
player double double
Khris Middleton double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+1100— stable
player double double
40.20
Composite Score
+3.7%
Net EV
35.00
Narrative Fit
13.50
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
While the game is projected to be high-paced, which generally favors increased opportunities for player statistics, Khris Middleton’s recent performance, averaging only 4.0 rebounds and 2.6 assists, significantly undermines his ability to achieve a double-double. Additionally, the Mavericks' strong defense against forwards diminishes his scoring and assist opportunities, leading to a final Net EV of 0.04 that suggests this bet is mispriced, making it prudent to pass rather than wager on this outcome.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 15%
Evidence
- →STATS: Khris Middleton is averaging 4.0 rebounds and 2.6 assists in his last 5 games, showing he is consistently contributing in multiple categories.
- →MATCHUP: The Memphis Grizzlies have a relatively weak defense, which could allow Middleton to find more scoring opportunities as well as more chances to assist with offensive plays.
- →NARRATIVE: With a high game total of 238.5, this matchup is expected to be high-paced, leading to increased opportunities for Middleton to accumulate both points and assists.
- →TREND: Middleton's scoring has recently been lower, averaging 7.0 points over his last 5 games, but the high-paced nature of the game against the Grizzlies could rejuvenate his offensive output, assisting him in achieving a double-double.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Dallas Mavericks are playing at home, where they often perform better and where momentum could benefit Middleton as he plays with a motivated team aiming to break out of their recent slump.
Thesis: moderate
Market: slightly disagree
Sources: source1, source2
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 90%
Evidence
- →STATS: Khris Middleton has averaged only 4.0 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game in the last five games, making it unlikely for him to reach the combined total of 10 in these categories needed for a double-double.
- →MATCHUP: The Dallas Mavericks have been defensively solid against forwards, limiting their scoring and assist opportunities, which could further hinder Middleton's ability to accumulate the necessary stats.
- →NARRATIVE: With a high-scoring total of 238.5 expected in the game, it is likely that the offensive flow will go through ball-dominant players, reducing Middleton's opportunities to score and contribute assists or rebounds significantly.
- →TREND: Middleton's recent performance shows a significant drop with an average of only 7.0 points per game in the last five games, indicating he is underperforming relative to what is required for a double-double.
- →SITUATIONAL: Middleton's current average of 21.2 minutes per game does not provide enough time on the court to accumulate the necessary statistics to reach a double-double, especially considering potential game flow or substitutions.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: url1, url2
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 15%
Evidence
- →STATS: Khris Middleton is averaging 4.0 rebounds and 2.6 assists in his last 5 games, showing he is consistently contributing in multiple categories.
- →MATCHUP: The Memphis Grizzlies have a relatively weak defense, which could allow Middleton to find more scoring opportunities as well as more chances to assist with offensive plays.
- →NARRATIVE: With a high game total of 238.5, this matchup is expected to be high-paced, leading to increased opportunities for Middleton to accumulate both points and assists.
- →TREND: Middleton's scoring has recently been lower, averaging 7.0 points over his last 5 games, but the high-paced nature of the game against the Grizzlies could rejuvenate his offensive output, assisting him in achieving a double-double.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Dallas Mavericks are playing at home, where they often perform better and where momentum could benefit Middleton as he plays with a motivated team aiming to break out of their recent slump.
Thesis: moderate
Market: slightly disagree
Sources: source1, source2
Full Analysis Available to Members
Request access to SAL 9000 to unlock full analysis for every game, plus the Parlay Builder, Portfolio Optimizer, and more.
Free to request — limited seats available