Back to Memphis Grizzlies @ Dallas Mavericks
G.G. Jackson double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+750— stable
player double double
G.G. Jackson double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+750— stable
player double double
39.40
Composite Score
+5.0%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
19.40
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
The bet on G.G. Jackson achieving a double-double seems risky given the current dynamics of this matchup. While there are favorable signs, such as the Mavericks’ struggles against forwards and a high total indicating a potential for increased pace, Jackson's low averages in rebounds and assists significantly counteract the potential for him to reach double figures in both categories. The slight Net EV of 0.05 corroborates this, indicating an underpriced bet, but the overall evidence leans towards uncertainty regarding his playing time and performance effectiveness.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 25%
Evidence
- →STATS: G.G. Jackson has averaged 8.4 points and 3.6 rebounds over his last five games, showing an improvement in scoring efficiency with a 49.1% FG percentage which can support his potential for a double-double.
- →MATCHUP: The Dallas Mavericks have struggled defensively, especially against forwards, allowing more opportunities for players like G.G. Jackson to accumulate points and boards.
- →NARRATIVE: The game total of 238.5 indicates a high-scoring affair which could lead to increased playing time for Jackson, especially if the game remains close as expected with a spread of only 4.0.
- →TREND: In one of his recent games against the Memphis Grizzlies, Jackson recorded a notable performance with 5 rebounds and has shown capability to rebound significantly against similar competition.
- →SITUATIONAL: With the Grizzlies on a three-game losing streak and lacking motivation for the playoffs, it creates an environment where younger players like Jackson may get more minutes as the team evaluates their lineup for the future.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 90%
Evidence
- →STATS: G.G. Jackson's season averages show that he has only recorded 3.2 rebounds and 1.0 assists per game, making a double-double gesture (10+ in two categories) highly unlikely given his current output.
- →MATCHUP: The Dallas Mavericks are a competitive team with strong defensive measures, which could limit Jackson's scoring and rebounding opportunities against them.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the projected game environment and current trends, it's likely that the game will be closer than expected, meaning Jackson might not receive extended minutes, which limits his chances of achieving a double-double.
- →TREND: Jackson has only achieved a double-double in one of his last five games, indicating he has been significantly underperforming in both rebounds and assists, which he would need to surpass the double-double mark.
- →SITUATIONAL: G.G. Jackson has played less than 25 minutes in the majority of his recent games, and if the game stays competitive, he may not see the necessary increase in minutes to achieve a double-double.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: https://www.espn.com, https://www.nbastats.com
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 25%
Evidence
- →STATS: G.G. Jackson has averaged 8.4 points and 3.6 rebounds over his last five games, showing an improvement in scoring efficiency with a 49.1% FG percentage which can support his potential for a double-double.
- →MATCHUP: The Dallas Mavericks have struggled defensively, especially against forwards, allowing more opportunities for players like G.G. Jackson to accumulate points and boards.
- →NARRATIVE: The game total of 238.5 indicates a high-scoring affair which could lead to increased playing time for Jackson, especially if the game remains close as expected with a spread of only 4.0.
- →TREND: In one of his recent games against the Memphis Grizzlies, Jackson recorded a notable performance with 5 rebounds and has shown capability to rebound significantly against similar competition.
- →SITUATIONAL: With the Grizzlies on a three-game losing streak and lacking motivation for the playoffs, it creates an environment where younger players like Jackson may get more minutes as the team evaluates their lineup for the future.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Full Analysis Available to Members
Request access to SAL 9000 to unlock full analysis for every game, plus the Parlay Builder, Portfolio Optimizer, and more.
Free to request — limited seats available