Back to Memphis Grizzlies @ Dallas Mavericks
Khris Middleton double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+1000— stable
player double double
Khris Middleton double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+1000— stable
player double double
39.20
Composite Score
+3.0%
Net EV
35.00
Narrative Fit
10.80
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
The bet on Khris Middleton achieving a double-double does not align well with the likely game script against the Memphis Grizzlies. While there is a projected high game total, Middleton's recent averages and limited court time significantly hinder his chances of reaching the combined necessary stats, especially with the Mavericks' solid defense against forwards. The Net EV of 0.03 indicates only a slight edge, but the stronger narrative against Middleton's contributions, backed by recent trends, makes it risky to invest in this wager.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 15%
Evidence
- →STATS: Khris Middleton is averaging 4.0 rebounds and 2.6 assists in his last 5 games, showing he is consistently contributing in multiple categories.
- →MATCHUP: The Memphis Grizzlies have a relatively weak defense, which could allow Middleton to find more scoring opportunities as well as more chances to assist with offensive plays.
- →NARRATIVE: With a high game total of 238.5, this matchup is expected to be high-paced, leading to increased opportunities for Middleton to accumulate both points and assists.
- →TREND: Middleton's scoring has recently been lower, averaging 7.0 points over his last 5 games, but the high-paced nature of the game against the Grizzlies could rejuvenate his offensive output, assisting him in achieving a double-double.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Dallas Mavericks are playing at home, where they often perform better and where momentum could benefit Middleton as he plays with a motivated team aiming to break out of their recent slump.
Thesis: moderate
Market: slightly disagree
Sources: source1, source2
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 90%
Evidence
- →STATS: Khris Middleton has averaged only 4.0 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game in the last five games, making it unlikely for him to reach the combined total of 10 in these categories needed for a double-double.
- →MATCHUP: The Dallas Mavericks have been defensively solid against forwards, limiting their scoring and assist opportunities, which could further hinder Middleton's ability to accumulate the necessary stats.
- →NARRATIVE: With a high-scoring total of 238.5 expected in the game, it is likely that the offensive flow will go through ball-dominant players, reducing Middleton's opportunities to score and contribute assists or rebounds significantly.
- →TREND: Middleton's recent performance shows a significant drop with an average of only 7.0 points per game in the last five games, indicating he is underperforming relative to what is required for a double-double.
- →SITUATIONAL: Middleton's current average of 21.2 minutes per game does not provide enough time on the court to accumulate the necessary statistics to reach a double-double, especially considering potential game flow or substitutions.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: url1, url2
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 15%
Evidence
- →STATS: Khris Middleton is averaging 4.0 rebounds and 2.6 assists in his last 5 games, showing he is consistently contributing in multiple categories.
- →MATCHUP: The Memphis Grizzlies have a relatively weak defense, which could allow Middleton to find more scoring opportunities as well as more chances to assist with offensive plays.
- →NARRATIVE: With a high game total of 238.5, this matchup is expected to be high-paced, leading to increased opportunities for Middleton to accumulate both points and assists.
- →TREND: Middleton's scoring has recently been lower, averaging 7.0 points over his last 5 games, but the high-paced nature of the game against the Grizzlies could rejuvenate his offensive output, assisting him in achieving a double-double.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Dallas Mavericks are playing at home, where they often perform better and where momentum could benefit Middleton as he plays with a motivated team aiming to break out of their recent slump.
Thesis: moderate
Market: slightly disagree
Sources: source1, source2
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