Back to Memphis Grizzlies @ Dallas Mavericks
Cam Spencer double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+2000— stable
player double double
Cam Spencer double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+2000— stable
player double double
38.60
Composite Score
+8.0%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
30.90
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
Expect a high-scoring game given the total set at 238.5, which aligns with the offensive opportunities Spencer has against a defensively vulnerable Grizzlies team. While Spencer's overall season averages show he isn't a consistent double-double threat, his recent performance and increased minutes suggest he could take advantage of this matchup. The Net EV of 0.08 supports the idea that the market may not have fully priced in these favorable conditions for Spencer, making this a lean-bet opportunity.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 25%
Evidence
- →STATS: Cam Spencer has averaged 17.2 points, 5.2 assists, and 2.2 rebounds in the last five games, which indicates a strong capacity to reach double digits in multiple categories.
- →MATCHUP: The Memphis Grizzlies have shown defensive vulnerabilities, allowing high-scoring opportunities, which could allow Spencer to capitalize and generate more points and assists.
- →NARRATIVE: The game features a high total of 238.5, suggesting a fast-paced matchup which could lead to increased possessions, providing more opportunities for Spencer to accumulate stats for a double-double.
- →TREND: In recent games against the Grizzlies, Spencer has demonstrated consistency with rebounds (up to 5 in one game), showcasing his ability to contribute across multiple stat columns.
- →SITUATIONAL: The game is critical for both teams as they fight for better seedings, likely resulting in extended minutes for key players like Spencer who have seen a recent uptick in minutes per game, averaging 25.8 over the last five.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 95%
Evidence
- →STATS: Cam Spencer's season averages indicate he is far from a consistent double-double threat, averaging only 4.2 points, 1.2 rebounds, and 1.4 assists per game overall, making it unlikely for him to hit the double-double target.
- →MATCHUP: The Dallas Mavericks and Memphis Grizzlies are both struggling teams with low overall performance, which could lead to a lack of overall offensive production in the game, making a double-double for Spencer even less likely.
- →NARRATIVE: Given that the game spread is close at Dallas Mavericks -4.0, this suggests a competitive matchup, which often means all starters, including Spencer, will play at a level that prevents them from achieving inflated stats necessary for a double-double.
- →TREND: In his last five games against Memphis, Spencer has only managed to achieve close to a double-double once, and even then, he only recorded 5 rebounds and 5 assists, clearly showcasing underperformance relative to the double-double requirement.
- →SITUATIONAL: Spencer’s average of 25.8 minutes in recent games suggests limited court time, and if the game remains competitive, he may not get enough playing time to accumulate the necessary stats for a double-double, particularly considering both teams are on a losing streak.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 25%
Evidence
- →STATS: Cam Spencer has averaged 17.2 points, 5.2 assists, and 2.2 rebounds in the last five games, which indicates a strong capacity to reach double digits in multiple categories.
- →MATCHUP: The Memphis Grizzlies have shown defensive vulnerabilities, allowing high-scoring opportunities, which could allow Spencer to capitalize and generate more points and assists.
- →NARRATIVE: The game features a high total of 238.5, suggesting a fast-paced matchup which could lead to increased possessions, providing more opportunities for Spencer to accumulate stats for a double-double.
- →TREND: In recent games against the Grizzlies, Spencer has demonstrated consistency with rebounds (up to 5 in one game), showcasing his ability to contribute across multiple stat columns.
- →SITUATIONAL: The game is critical for both teams as they fight for better seedings, likely resulting in extended minutes for key players like Spencer who have seen a recent uptick in minutes per game, averaging 25.8 over the last five.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Full Analysis Available to Members
Request access to SAL 9000 to unlock full analysis for every game, plus the Parlay Builder, Portfolio Optimizer, and more.
Free to request — limited seats available