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Cam Spencer double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+1500— stable
player double double
Cam Spencer double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+1500— stable
player double double
36.60
Composite Score
+6.5%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
25.20
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
While the positive Net EV of 0.06 indicates that the bet on Cam Spencer achieving a double-double could be slightly undervalued by bookmakers, the evidence from the anti agent reveals significant concerns about his overall production history and the competitive nature of the matchup. With Spencer's low season averages and the potential for a tightly contested game likely limiting overall offensive output, it seems prudent to pass on this wager despite the marginal value it presents.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 25%
Evidence
- →STATS: Cam Spencer has averaged 17.2 points, 5.2 assists, and 2.2 rebounds in the last five games, which indicates a strong capacity to reach double digits in multiple categories.
- →MATCHUP: The Memphis Grizzlies have shown defensive vulnerabilities, allowing high-scoring opportunities, which could allow Spencer to capitalize and generate more points and assists.
- →NARRATIVE: The game features a high total of 238.5, suggesting a fast-paced matchup which could lead to increased possessions, providing more opportunities for Spencer to accumulate stats for a double-double.
- →TREND: In recent games against the Grizzlies, Spencer has demonstrated consistency with rebounds (up to 5 in one game), showcasing his ability to contribute across multiple stat columns.
- →SITUATIONAL: The game is critical for both teams as they fight for better seedings, likely resulting in extended minutes for key players like Spencer who have seen a recent uptick in minutes per game, averaging 25.8 over the last five.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 95%
Evidence
- →STATS: Cam Spencer's season averages indicate he is far from a consistent double-double threat, averaging only 4.2 points, 1.2 rebounds, and 1.4 assists per game overall, making it unlikely for him to hit the double-double target.
- →MATCHUP: The Dallas Mavericks and Memphis Grizzlies are both struggling teams with low overall performance, which could lead to a lack of overall offensive production in the game, making a double-double for Spencer even less likely.
- →NARRATIVE: Given that the game spread is close at Dallas Mavericks -4.0, this suggests a competitive matchup, which often means all starters, including Spencer, will play at a level that prevents them from achieving inflated stats necessary for a double-double.
- →TREND: In his last five games against Memphis, Spencer has only managed to achieve close to a double-double once, and even then, he only recorded 5 rebounds and 5 assists, clearly showcasing underperformance relative to the double-double requirement.
- →SITUATIONAL: Spencer’s average of 25.8 minutes in recent games suggests limited court time, and if the game remains competitive, he may not get enough playing time to accumulate the necessary stats for a double-double, particularly considering both teams are on a losing streak.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 25%
Evidence
- →STATS: Cam Spencer has averaged 17.2 points, 5.2 assists, and 2.2 rebounds in the last five games, which indicates a strong capacity to reach double digits in multiple categories.
- →MATCHUP: The Memphis Grizzlies have shown defensive vulnerabilities, allowing high-scoring opportunities, which could allow Spencer to capitalize and generate more points and assists.
- →NARRATIVE: The game features a high total of 238.5, suggesting a fast-paced matchup which could lead to increased possessions, providing more opportunities for Spencer to accumulate stats for a double-double.
- →TREND: In recent games against the Grizzlies, Spencer has demonstrated consistency with rebounds (up to 5 in one game), showcasing his ability to contribute across multiple stat columns.
- →SITUATIONAL: The game is critical for both teams as they fight for better seedings, likely resulting in extended minutes for key players like Spencer who have seen a recent uptick in minutes per game, averaging 25.8 over the last five.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
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