Back to Memphis Grizzlies @ Dallas Mavericks
Cam Spencer double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+2500— stable
player double double
Cam Spencer double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+2500— stable
player double double
39.80
Composite Score
+8.9%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
34.50
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
The matchup between the Memphis Grizzlies and Dallas Mavericks suggests a competitive game with potential for both teams to struggle offensively, which goes against the likelihood of Cam Spencer achieving a double-double. His lack of consistent production, as highlighted by his high average of only 4.2 points, 1.2 rebounds, and 1.4 assists per game overall, contrasts sharply with the requirement for a double-double. Although the Net EV is slightly positive (0.09), the contradicting evidence regarding Spencer's performance and the critical context of a tightly contested game lead to better options than betting on this outcome.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 25%
Evidence
- →STATS: Cam Spencer has averaged 17.2 points, 5.2 assists, and 2.2 rebounds in the last five games, which indicates a strong capacity to reach double digits in multiple categories.
- →MATCHUP: The Memphis Grizzlies have shown defensive vulnerabilities, allowing high-scoring opportunities, which could allow Spencer to capitalize and generate more points and assists.
- →NARRATIVE: The game features a high total of 238.5, suggesting a fast-paced matchup which could lead to increased possessions, providing more opportunities for Spencer to accumulate stats for a double-double.
- →TREND: In recent games against the Grizzlies, Spencer has demonstrated consistency with rebounds (up to 5 in one game), showcasing his ability to contribute across multiple stat columns.
- →SITUATIONAL: The game is critical for both teams as they fight for better seedings, likely resulting in extended minutes for key players like Spencer who have seen a recent uptick in minutes per game, averaging 25.8 over the last five.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 95%
Evidence
- →STATS: Cam Spencer's season averages indicate he is far from a consistent double-double threat, averaging only 4.2 points, 1.2 rebounds, and 1.4 assists per game overall, making it unlikely for him to hit the double-double target.
- →MATCHUP: The Dallas Mavericks and Memphis Grizzlies are both struggling teams with low overall performance, which could lead to a lack of overall offensive production in the game, making a double-double for Spencer even less likely.
- →NARRATIVE: Given that the game spread is close at Dallas Mavericks -4.0, this suggests a competitive matchup, which often means all starters, including Spencer, will play at a level that prevents them from achieving inflated stats necessary for a double-double.
- →TREND: In his last five games against Memphis, Spencer has only managed to achieve close to a double-double once, and even then, he only recorded 5 rebounds and 5 assists, clearly showcasing underperformance relative to the double-double requirement.
- →SITUATIONAL: Spencer’s average of 25.8 minutes in recent games suggests limited court time, and if the game remains competitive, he may not get enough playing time to accumulate the necessary stats for a double-double, particularly considering both teams are on a losing streak.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 25%
Evidence
- →STATS: Cam Spencer has averaged 17.2 points, 5.2 assists, and 2.2 rebounds in the last five games, which indicates a strong capacity to reach double digits in multiple categories.
- →MATCHUP: The Memphis Grizzlies have shown defensive vulnerabilities, allowing high-scoring opportunities, which could allow Spencer to capitalize and generate more points and assists.
- →NARRATIVE: The game features a high total of 238.5, suggesting a fast-paced matchup which could lead to increased possessions, providing more opportunities for Spencer to accumulate stats for a double-double.
- →TREND: In recent games against the Grizzlies, Spencer has demonstrated consistency with rebounds (up to 5 in one game), showcasing his ability to contribute across multiple stat columns.
- →SITUATIONAL: The game is critical for both teams as they fight for better seedings, likely resulting in extended minutes for key players like Spencer who have seen a recent uptick in minutes per game, averaging 25.8 over the last five.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Full Analysis Available to Members
Request access to SAL 9000 to unlock full analysis for every game, plus the Parlay Builder, Portfolio Optimizer, and more.
Free to request — limited seats available