SAL 9000
SAL 9000
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New York KnicksNew York Knicks37-22 #3
@
Milwaukee BucksMilwaukee Bucks26-31 #11
Live
Sat, Feb 28 • 1:10 AM|✓2/27 8:49 PM|3253 wagers• 1016 props
Game Lines
SPR
ML
O/U
Knicks
💤-112-112 (-8.5)—
🧠-330-330—
💤-114-114 (218.5)—
Bucks
💤-108-108 (+8.5)—
💤+265+265—
💤-106-106 (218.5)—

Key Themes

Read full game script

SAL's Picks

🔒 SAL's Lock🎯 T1

Mikal Bridges Over 13.5 points

Given the game narrative of a potentially competitive matchup with a high game total of 218.5, Mikal Bridges is poised for ample scoring opportunities. His scoring trend, averaging 17.6...

-140+9.2% EVScore: 55%
Premium Parlay3-Leg

Bridge to Greatness

1.Josh Hart Over 0.5 blocks
2.Mikal Bridges Over 13.5 points
3.Jericho Sims Over 6.5 rebounds
+887+20.4% EV
🌖 Moon Shot🚀 T3

Bobby Portis double double

The outcome of Bobby Portis achieving a double-double is highly uncertain given the narratives presented. The anti agent highlights significant unfavorable stats, including Portis's recent...

+960+3.9% EVScore: 48%

📊Analysis Quality(12 actionable / 1030 total)

Core Value Bet
Count: 1 (0%)
Avg EV: 9.2%
Range: 9.2% - 9.2%
Conviction Bet
Count: 11 (1%)
Avg EV: 18.8%
Range: 5.6% - 42.5%
Asymmetric Shot
Count: 19 (2%)
Avg EV: 8.5%
Range: -4.4% - 59.0%
💤 999
Noise Bet
Count: 999 (97%)
Avg EV: -0.1%
Range: -85.0% - 87.0%
🎯Core
1 (0%)
🧠Conviction
11 (1%)
🚀Asymmetric
19 (2%)
💤Noise
999 (97%)

Tier Distribution by Prop Type

Prop Type
🎯T1
🧠T2
🚀T3
💤T4
Total
Points
1––410411
Rebounds
–4–175179
3-Pointers
–4–125129
Assists
–––8686
Method Of First Basket
–––4848
Total180844853
Intensity = count relative to max
T1-3 (Heat)
T4 (Ice)
🦎

SAL's Game Script

Full betting analysis and game context

Giannis Antetokounmpo's 13-game absence isn't just about missing a star player—it's about Milwaukee losing the only perimeter defender capable of recovering on rotations and the only offensive engine generating spacing for role players. Kevin Porter Jr. has shot 37.1% from the field and just 10% from three in his recent window, which tells you everything about why the Bucks' spacing collapses without their franchise player. The Knicks enter this game at 37-22 in the third seed, coming off a loss to Cleveland that created urgency rather than lethargy. Jalen Brunson (31 PPG on 51.1% FG over five games) and Karl-Anthony Towns (22.4 PPG, 54% FG, 12.4 RPG) form an offensive duo that Myles Turner (1.2 BPK over five games) and Turner's defensive partners cannot contain. This is the critical edge: New York doesn't just have superior talent; they have a defensive infrastructure specifically designed to break pick-and-roll offenses, which is exactly what the Bucks now depend on without Giannis. The matchup quality disparity extends beyond the frontcourt. Brunson faces Ryan Rollins and Kevin Porter Jr., neither of whom has the athleticism to pressure him in half-court pick-and-roll situations without fouling. Josh Hart (59.6% FG, 7.6 RPG over five games) operates...

Analysis generated 2/27/2026, 8:49:57 PM

📊SAL's Edge Analysis

EV46%Story50%Pro70%Bal68%Score55%
Edge over market odds
Fits game narrative
Bullish agent confidence
Pro vs Anti consensus
Overall quality metric
Core ValuePlayer Prop

Mikal Bridges Over 13.5 points

+5.3%edge
vs All WagersTop 35%
vs Core ValueBottom 1%
Above average edge
Odds
-140
Implied
58%
SAL Est.
64%
EV
9.2%
1 of 31 wagers

Top Individual Bets(31 of 1030)

Book:
Bet
Mitchell Robinson Double Double
+59.0%+1120
🚀DraftKings • double double
🚀
Mitchell Robinson Double Double
DraftKings • double double
+59.0%
44.50
+1120
Mitchell Robinson Double Double
+53.9%+650
🚀FanDuel • double double
🚀
Mitchell Robinson Double Double
FanDuel • double double
+53.9%
44.50
+650
Josh Hart Over 0.5 blocks
+42.5%+220
🧠BetMGM • blocks
🧠
Josh Hart Over 0.5 blocks
BetMGM • blocks
+42.5%
49.00
+220
Jalen Brunson Over 9.5 rebounds assists
+35.2%+102
🧠FanDuel • rebounds assists
🧠
Jalen Brunson Over 9.5 rebounds assists
FanDuel • rebounds assists
+35.2%
49.00
+102
Jalen Brunson Over 9.5 rebounds assists
+34.7%+100
🧠BetMGM • rebounds assists
🧠
Jalen Brunson Over 9.5 rebounds assists
BetMGM • rebounds assists
+34.7%
49.00
+100
Jalen Brunson Over 9.5 rebounds assists
+33.2%-106
🧠DraftKings • rebounds assists
🧠
Jalen Brunson Over 9.5 rebounds assists
DraftKings • rebounds assists
+33.2%
49.00
-106
Landry Shamet Under 1.5 threes
+13.8%+152
🧠FanDuel • threes
🧠
Landry Shamet Under 1.5 threes
FanDuel • threes
+13.8%
40.00
+152
Jericho Sims Over 6.5 rebounds
+9.4%-125
🧠BetMGM • rebounds
🧠
Jericho Sims Over 6.5 rebounds
BetMGM • rebounds
+9.4%
48.50
-125
New York Knicks ML
+9.4%-325
🧠DraftKings • h2h
🧠
New York Knicks ML
DraftKings • h2h
+9.4%
53.10
-325
New York Knicks ML
+9.2%-330
🧠FanDuel • h2h
🧠
New York Knicks ML
FanDuel • h2h
+9.2%
52.70
-330
Mikal Bridges Over 13.5 points
+9.2%-140
🎯BetMGM • points
🎯
Mikal Bridges Over 13.5 points
BetMGM • points
+9.2%
55.00
-140
Jalen Brunson Over 2.5 threes
+8.0%-120
🧠BetMGM • threes
🧠
Jalen Brunson Over 2.5 threes
BetMGM • threes
+8.0%
50.90
-120
Myles Turner Double Double
+6.8%+2300
🚀DraftKings • double double
🚀
Myles Turner Double Double
DraftKings • double double
+6.8%
36.30
+2300
OG Anunoby Double Double
+6.6%+1980
🚀DraftKings • double double
🚀
OG Anunoby Double Double
DraftKings • double double
+6.6%
36.90
+1980
Jalen Brunson Over 2.5 threes
+6.0%-130
🧠FanDuel • threes
🧠
Jalen Brunson Over 2.5 threes
FanDuel • threes
+6.0%
48.50
-130
Jalen Brunson Over 2.5 threes
+5.6%-132
🧠DraftKings • threes
🧠
Jalen Brunson Over 2.5 threes
DraftKings • threes
+5.6%
48.10
-132
OG Anunoby Double Double
+5.5%+1600
🚀FanDuel • double double
🚀
OG Anunoby Double Double
FanDuel • double double
+5.5%
35.50
+1600
OG Anunoby Double Double
+5.1%+1500
🚀BetMGM • double double
🚀
OG Anunoby Double Double
BetMGM • double double
+5.1%
35.00
+1500
Ryan Rollins Double Double
+4.9%+1000
🚀BetMGM • double double
🚀
Ryan Rollins Double Double
BetMGM • double double
+4.9%
37.80
+1000
Jalen Brunson Double Double
+4.7%+600
🚀FanDuel • double double
🚀
Jalen Brunson Double Double
FanDuel • double double
+4.7%
42.80
+600
Ryan Rollins Double Double
+4.5%+950
🚀FanDuel • double double
🚀
Ryan Rollins Double Double
FanDuel • double double
+4.5%
37.30
+950
Bobby Portis Double Double
+3.9%+960
🚀DraftKings • double double
🚀
Bobby Portis Double Double
DraftKings • double double
+3.9%
48.20
+960
Jalen Brunson Double Double
+3.6%+552
🚀DraftKings • double double
🚀
Jalen Brunson Double Double
DraftKings • double double
+3.6%
41.40
+552
Jalen Brunson Double Double
+3.6%+550
🚀BetMGM • double double
🚀
Jalen Brunson Double Double
BetMGM • double double
+3.6%
41.30
+550
Kyle Kuzma Double Double
+2.4%+2000
🚀DraftKings • double double
🚀
Kyle Kuzma Double Double
DraftKings • double double
+2.4%
38.90
+2000
Kyle Kuzma Double Double
+1.9%+1800
🚀FanDuel • double double
🚀
Kyle Kuzma Double Double
FanDuel • double double
+1.9%
38.20
+1800
Bobby Portis Double Double
+1.6%+750
🚀FanDuel • double double
🚀
Bobby Portis Double Double
FanDuel • double double
+1.6%
45.10
+750
Josh Hart Double Double
+0.5%+440
🚀FanDuel • double double
🚀
Josh Hart Double Double
FanDuel • double double
+0.5%
36.60
+440
Josh Hart Double Double
-1.0%+400
🚀BetMGM • double double
🚀
Josh Hart Double Double
BetMGM • double double
-1.0%
37.00
+400
Kyle Kuzma Double Double
-1.2%+1100
🚀BetMGM • double double
🚀
Kyle Kuzma Double Double
BetMGM • double double
-1.2%
36.80
+1100
Josh Hart Double Double
-4.4%+327
🚀DraftKings • double double
🚀
Josh Hart Double Double
DraftKings • double double
-4.4%
40.20
+327
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