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Myles Turner double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+2300— stable
player double double
Myles Turner double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+2300— stable
player double double
36.30
Composite Score
+6.8%
Net EV
35.00
Narrative Fit
25.60
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
The case against Myles Turner hitting a double-double is stronger given the significant concerns around his recent performance as well as the New York Knicks' strong frontcourt, which could hinder his rebounding opportunities. Although the game context suggests competitiveness with the Bucks favored to be trailing, this could limit Turner's minutes and potential contributions. The Net EV of 0.07 is not compelling enough to back this wager given the underwhelming narrative and situational disadvantages presented by the anti-agent's analysis.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 20%
Evidence
- →STATS: Myles Turner's recent averages show 2.4 rebounds and 11.8 points per game, and he has a history of achieving at least 10 points and 10 rebounds in previous matches against the Milwaukee Bucks.
- →MATCHUP: The matchup against the Knicks is favorable, as Turner has previously recorded multiple rebounds and scoring against them, suggesting he can replicate this performance and achieve a double-double.
- →NARRATIVE: With the spread at +8.5 indicating a potentially competitive game, Turner is likely to receive more minutes to maximize contributions on both ends of the floor, boosting his chances for a double-double.
- →TREND: Although his averages in the last 5 games have dipped, he historically performs better when facing the Knicks, indicating a positive trend in terms of matching up against this team specifically.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Bucks are on a 2-game winning streak, which suggests momentum heading into this game; when teams are riding a winning momentum, they often see their key players perform better, increasing Turner's chances to hit a double-double.
Thesis: moderate
Market: disagree
Sources: https://www.espn.com, https://www.nba.com
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 95%
Evidence
- →STATS: Myles Turner has been averaging only 2.4 rebounds per game over his last five games, well below the 10 needed for a double-double.
- →MATCHUP: The New York Knicks have a strong frontline, which may limit Turner's ability to grab rebounds against tougher competition.
- →NARRATIVE: Given that the Milwaukee Bucks are 8.5 point underdogs, it's possible they will be trailing, which may lead to lower minutes for Turner and fewer opportunities to accumulate double-double stats.
- →TREND: Recently, Turner has shown a decline in performance with only 11.8 points per game over the last five games, making it difficult for him to reach double digits in both categories.
- →SITUATIONAL: With the Bucks playing with a lower win rate, they may experiment with lineups, potentially reducing Turner’s court time, which would further hinder his chances for a double-double.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 20%
Evidence
- →STATS: Myles Turner's recent averages show 2.4 rebounds and 11.8 points per game, and he has a history of achieving at least 10 points and 10 rebounds in previous matches against the Milwaukee Bucks.
- →MATCHUP: The matchup against the Knicks is favorable, as Turner has previously recorded multiple rebounds and scoring against them, suggesting he can replicate this performance and achieve a double-double.
- →NARRATIVE: With the spread at +8.5 indicating a potentially competitive game, Turner is likely to receive more minutes to maximize contributions on both ends of the floor, boosting his chances for a double-double.
- →TREND: Although his averages in the last 5 games have dipped, he historically performs better when facing the Knicks, indicating a positive trend in terms of matching up against this team specifically.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Bucks are on a 2-game winning streak, which suggests momentum heading into this game; when teams are riding a winning momentum, they often see their key players perform better, increasing Turner's chances to hit a double-double.
Thesis: moderate
Market: disagree
Sources: https://www.espn.com, https://www.nba.com
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