Back to New York Knicks @ Milwaukee Bucks
Kyle Kuzma double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+2000— stable
player double double
Kyle Kuzma double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+2000— stable
player double double
38.90
Composite Score
+2.4%
Net EV
35.00
Narrative Fit
9.10
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
There's too much uncertainty surrounding Kuzma's ability to reach a double-double against the Bucks. His recent averages indicate limited scoring and rebounding, and the strong frontcourt of Milwaukee could further suppress his stats. With a Net EV of only 0.02, which signals a slight overpricing by the bookmaker, the lack of compelling narrative support from both agents means this bet is not advisable at this time.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 10%
Evidence
- →STATS: In his last five games against the Milwaukee Bucks, Kuzma averaged 6.0 rebounds and 2.0 assists, indicating a strong combined statistical output.
- →MATCHUP: The Bucks have allowed an average of 26.3 rebounds per game to forwards this season, which is favorable for Kuzma to reach double-digit rebounds.
- →NARRATIVE: With the Bucks being an underdog in this matchup, it is likely Kuzma will see heavy minutes, giving him more opportunities to accumulate stats.
- →TREND: Kuzma's rebounding average has shown an upward trend in his last five games, with his average rebounds per game increasing to 4.2 recently.
- →SITUATIONAL: The spread is set at Milwaukee Bucks +8.5, suggesting a competitive game which typically results in more minutes for starters like Kuzma, enhancing his chances to reach a double-double.
Thesis: moderate
Market: strongly disagree
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 95%
Evidence
- →STATS: Kuzma's recent averages show he is producing only 13.4 points and 4.2 rebounds over his last five games, which is far from the double-double threshold.
- →MATCHUP: The Milwaukee Bucks have a strong frontcourt with defenders who can limit Kuzma's rebounding opportunities, making it challenging for him to gather double-digit boards.
- →NARRATIVE: The game's total is set low at 218.5, indicating a potential struggle for offensive production, which would be disadvantageous for Kuzma achieving a double-double.
- →TREND: In his last five games against Milwaukee, Kuzma has not reached double digits in both points and rebounds at the same time, showing an established trend of underperformance against this team.
- →SITUATIONAL: Kuzma's recent average of 26.0 minutes per game is below his season average of nearly 30 minutes, potentially limiting his opportunities to accumulate the stats needed for a double-double.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: ESPN, Feature Factory
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 10%
Evidence
- →STATS: In his last five games against the Milwaukee Bucks, Kuzma averaged 6.0 rebounds and 2.0 assists, indicating a strong combined statistical output.
- →MATCHUP: The Bucks have allowed an average of 26.3 rebounds per game to forwards this season, which is favorable for Kuzma to reach double-digit rebounds.
- →NARRATIVE: With the Bucks being an underdog in this matchup, it is likely Kuzma will see heavy minutes, giving him more opportunities to accumulate stats.
- →TREND: Kuzma's rebounding average has shown an upward trend in his last five games, with his average rebounds per game increasing to 4.2 recently.
- →SITUATIONAL: The spread is set at Milwaukee Bucks +8.5, suggesting a competitive game which typically results in more minutes for starters like Kuzma, enhancing his chances to reach a double-double.
Thesis: moderate
Market: strongly disagree
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