Back to New York Knicks @ Milwaukee Bucks
Ryan Rollins double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+950— stable
player double double
Ryan Rollins double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+950— stable
player double double
37.30
Composite Score
+4.5%
Net EV
35.00
Narrative Fit
16.80
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
The game script suggests a competitive matchup between the Knicks and Bucks, but Rollins' inconsistent ability to achieve a double-double and the Knicks' strong defense are significant hurdles. Given the Net EV of 0.04, which suggests minimal edge, this bet lacks solid backing due to the potential for fewer opportunities for Rollins to accumulate the necessary stats, especially if the game is tightly contested or the Bucks fall behind early.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 20%
Evidence
- →STATS: In the last five games, Ryan Rollins has averaged 6.0 assists and 4.0 rebounds per game, showing he is close to achieving a double-double with his current usage and performance.
- →MATCHUP: The New York Knicks are facing the Milwaukee Bucks, who have struggled defensively this season, providing Rollins with opportunities for both assists and rebounds.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the game spread of Milwaukee Bucks +8.5, it is expected to be a competitive game, allowing Rollins to play significant minutes, which increases his chances of accumulating stats.
- →TREND: Ryan Rollins has consistently played over 30 minutes in his last five games and is increasing his scoring average to 14.4 points, suggesting he is becoming more integral to the team's offensive production.
- →SITUATIONAL: Rollins is benefitting from a favorable momentum shift, as the lack of reported injuries for both teams means he is likely to have a significant role in this match, aligning with the necessity for higher contribution levels.
Thesis: moderate
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 90%
Evidence
- →STATS: Ryan Rollins' season averages show limited potential for a double-double, with only 1.9 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game, indicating he typically falls short in at least one category crucial for achieving this milestone.
- →MATCHUP: The New York Knicks have a strong defense, ranking among the top teams in limiting scoring opportunities, which will inhibit Rollins' ability to accumulate double-digit points, rebounds, or assists against them.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the projected game Script, with the Bucks being significant underdogs by 8.5 points, it's likely they will struggle to keep pace, resulting in fewer minutes and attempts for Rollins, who may not have enough opportunities to secure a double-double.
- →TREND: Rollins has not displayed a consistent ability to reach double-digit numbers in either rebounds or assists in recent games, averaging just 4 boards and 6 assists over his last five games—neither of which approaches the necessary double figures required.
- →SITUATIONAL: The spread of 8.5 indicates a likely blowout risk in favor of the Knicks, which would lead to the Bucks resting their starters if they fall behind, significantly reducing Rollins' potential minutes and overall impact in the game.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 20%
Evidence
- →STATS: In the last five games, Ryan Rollins has averaged 6.0 assists and 4.0 rebounds per game, showing he is close to achieving a double-double with his current usage and performance.
- →MATCHUP: The New York Knicks are facing the Milwaukee Bucks, who have struggled defensively this season, providing Rollins with opportunities for both assists and rebounds.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the game spread of Milwaukee Bucks +8.5, it is expected to be a competitive game, allowing Rollins to play significant minutes, which increases his chances of accumulating stats.
- →TREND: Ryan Rollins has consistently played over 30 minutes in his last five games and is increasing his scoring average to 14.4 points, suggesting he is becoming more integral to the team's offensive production.
- →SITUATIONAL: Rollins is benefitting from a favorable momentum shift, as the lack of reported injuries for both teams means he is likely to have a significant role in this match, aligning with the necessity for higher contribution levels.
Thesis: moderate
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
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