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Kyle Kuzma double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+1100— stable
player double double
Kyle Kuzma double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+1100— stable
player double double
36.80
Composite Score
-1.2%
Net EV
35.00
Narrative Fit
4.30
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
Given the low total set for the game and Kuzma's underwhelming recent performance against the Bucks, the bet for a double-double does not align well with the expected game narrative. The anti-agent's evidence shows that Kuzma has not reached double digits in both points and rebounds in his last five games against Milwaukee, paired with the Bucks' strong frontcourt limiting rebound opportunities. The Net EV of -0.01 indicates that Kuzma's bet is overpriced, making it unwise to pursue given the game context.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 10%
Evidence
- →STATS: In his last five games against the Milwaukee Bucks, Kuzma averaged 6.0 rebounds and 2.0 assists, indicating a strong combined statistical output.
- →MATCHUP: The Bucks have allowed an average of 26.3 rebounds per game to forwards this season, which is favorable for Kuzma to reach double-digit rebounds.
- →NARRATIVE: With the Bucks being an underdog in this matchup, it is likely Kuzma will see heavy minutes, giving him more opportunities to accumulate stats.
- →TREND: Kuzma's rebounding average has shown an upward trend in his last five games, with his average rebounds per game increasing to 4.2 recently.
- →SITUATIONAL: The spread is set at Milwaukee Bucks +8.5, suggesting a competitive game which typically results in more minutes for starters like Kuzma, enhancing his chances to reach a double-double.
Thesis: moderate
Market: strongly disagree
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 95%
Evidence
- →STATS: Kuzma's recent averages show he is producing only 13.4 points and 4.2 rebounds over his last five games, which is far from the double-double threshold.
- →MATCHUP: The Milwaukee Bucks have a strong frontcourt with defenders who can limit Kuzma's rebounding opportunities, making it challenging for him to gather double-digit boards.
- →NARRATIVE: The game's total is set low at 218.5, indicating a potential struggle for offensive production, which would be disadvantageous for Kuzma achieving a double-double.
- →TREND: In his last five games against Milwaukee, Kuzma has not reached double digits in both points and rebounds at the same time, showing an established trend of underperformance against this team.
- →SITUATIONAL: Kuzma's recent average of 26.0 minutes per game is below his season average of nearly 30 minutes, potentially limiting his opportunities to accumulate the stats needed for a double-double.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: ESPN, Feature Factory
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 10%
Evidence
- →STATS: In his last five games against the Milwaukee Bucks, Kuzma averaged 6.0 rebounds and 2.0 assists, indicating a strong combined statistical output.
- →MATCHUP: The Bucks have allowed an average of 26.3 rebounds per game to forwards this season, which is favorable for Kuzma to reach double-digit rebounds.
- →NARRATIVE: With the Bucks being an underdog in this matchup, it is likely Kuzma will see heavy minutes, giving him more opportunities to accumulate stats.
- →TREND: Kuzma's rebounding average has shown an upward trend in his last five games, with his average rebounds per game increasing to 4.2 recently.
- →SITUATIONAL: The spread is set at Milwaukee Bucks +8.5, suggesting a competitive game which typically results in more minutes for starters like Kuzma, enhancing his chances to reach a double-double.
Thesis: moderate
Market: strongly disagree
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