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Daniss Jenkins Under 0.5 threes

💤 Noise Bet

+125↑7%|-10

player threes

Daniss Jenkins Under 0.5 threes

💤 Noise Bet

+125↑7%|-10

player threes

33.30

Composite Score

+9.2%

Net EV

50.00

Narrative Fit

39.20

Market Divergence

🧪 SAL's Synthesis

Given that Daniss Jenkins has consistently struggled with his three-point shooting, averaging only 0.4 made per game with a dismal 14.0% accuracy, it's highly unlikely that he exceeds the line of 0.5 threes. Additionally, the game narrative suggests that the Pistons’ strong defense against guards will further limit his opportunities to shoot. While the Net EV of 0.09 indicates a slight edge, the overall context suggests the risks involved outweigh the potential for success here.

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 25%

Evidence

→STATS: Daniss Jenkins has a low season average of 3PM/Game at 0.4 and a 3P% of just 14.0%, indicating that exceeding 0.5 threes is unlikely given his current effectiveness from beyond the arc.
→MATCHUP: The Detroit Pistons are known for their strong defensive play, particularly against guards, which could limit Jenkins' shooting opportunities and impact his ability to make a three-pointer.
→NARRATIVE: Given the game's projected total of 227.5, if it becomes a high-paced encounter, Jenkins may face tougher defensive matchups, leading to fewer open shots and a reduced chance of hitting over 0.5 threes.
→TREND: Jenkins has consistently underperformed in recent games, with 3P% numbers that are significantly below average, suggesting a tendency to struggle with shooting, making it hard to see him exceeding the threshold.
→SITUATIONAL: Jenkins averages only 3.3 minutes of play per game, which severely limits his chances to attempt and make three-pointers during a contest.

Thesis: strong

Market: strongly disagree

Sources: ESPN API, Feature Factory

🔴 Anti Agent Case

Conf: 20%

Evidence

→STATS: Daniss Jenkins has averaged 0.4 three-pointers made over his last five games, which indicates he is close to hitting the over of 0.5 threes and just needs one more to exceed that threshold.
→MATCHUP: The Detroit Pistons are currently ranked as one of the top teams in the league, which often leads to high-paced games; this environment is conducive for Jenkins to have more shooting opportunities.
→NARRATIVE: In a matchup against the Cavaliers, Jenkins is likely to face off in a game that could be closely contested, giving him access to ample playing time in clutch moments which could allow him to launch more three-point attempts.
→TREND: His recent shooting statistics show an improvement, specifically a FG% of 43.8% over the last five games, indicating that he is finding more success with his shot, including three-point attempts.
→SITUATIONAL: With the spread set at -5.5 for the Pistons, the game could remain competitive, increasing the chances that Jenkins plays more than his season average of 3.3 minutes per game, giving him additional opportunities to hit the over.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

Sources: url1, url2

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 25%

Evidence

→STATS: Daniss Jenkins has a low season average of 3PM/Game at 0.4 and a 3P% of just 14.0%, indicating that exceeding 0.5 threes is unlikely given his current effectiveness from beyond the arc.
→MATCHUP: The Detroit Pistons are known for their strong defensive play, particularly against guards, which could limit Jenkins' shooting opportunities and impact his ability to make a three-pointer.
→NARRATIVE: Given the game's projected total of 227.5, if it becomes a high-paced encounter, Jenkins may face tougher defensive matchups, leading to fewer open shots and a reduced chance of hitting over 0.5 threes.
→TREND: Jenkins has consistently underperformed in recent games, with 3P% numbers that are significantly below average, suggesting a tendency to struggle with shooting, making it hard to see him exceeding the threshold.
→SITUATIONAL: Jenkins averages only 3.3 minutes of play per game, which severely limits his chances to attempt and make three-pointers during a contest.

Thesis: strong

Market: strongly disagree

Sources: ESPN API, Feature Factory