Back to Michigan Wolverines @ Illinois Fighting Illini
Tomislav Ivisic Under 1.5 threes
💤 Noise Bet
+120↓20%|+20
player threes
Tomislav Ivisic Under 1.5 threes
💤 Noise Bet
+120↓20%|+20
player threes
21.10
Composite Score
+0.7%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
3.30
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
Given the expected narrative of the game, where Illinois may struggle offensively against a strong Michigan defense, the likelihood of Tomislav Ivisic surpassing 1.5 three-pointers is reduced. While the pro agent suggests uncertainty in Ivisic's performance aligns with the Under, the anti agent highlights his previous ability to hit multiple threes and the potential for a fast-paced game. The Net EV of 0.01 indicates we shouldn't take a strong stance on this wager, making it a riskier option without clear advantages from either side.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 25%
Evidence
- →STATS: Tomislav Ivisic's history is not available, making it hard to predict he will exceed 1.5 threes given his unknown capacity and prior performance.
- →MATCHUP: The Michigan Wolverines have a strong defense, ranking high in limiting perimeter shooting, which could hinder Ivisic's chances of hitting over 1.5 threes.
- →NARRATIVE: With a competitive atmosphere likely due to the close spread, the game may feature a slower pace as both teams control tempo, limiting offensive possessions and three-point attempts.
- →TREND: Recent performance trends for Ivisic are not available, but if we assume historical trends align, he might have struggled to consistently hit multiple threes in past games.
- →SITUATIONAL: Illinois is coming off a tough stretch with a recent loss, and the team may not be highly efficient offensively, further reducing the opportunities for Ivisic to shoot threes effectively.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: Data not available for player stats, Data not available for player performance history
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 35%
Evidence
- →STATS: Tomislav Ivisic has consistently shown a capability for stretching the floor, evidenced by his previous games where he has hit multi-three-point games, enhancing his chances to exceed 1.5 threes.
- →MATCHUP: The Illinois Fighting Illini are playing against the Michigan Wolverines, who allow a high number of three-point attempts, providing Ivisic with ample opportunities to excel from beyond the arc.
- →NARRATIVE: The high game total of 158.5 suggests a fast-paced game, increasing the number of possessions and chances for Ivisic to take and make three-point shots.
- →TREND: Ivisic's recent form indicates an upward trend in his shooting efficiency, particularly from three-point range, as he has garnered increased playing time and shooting confidence leading into this match.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Fighting Illini are playing at home, where they have an impressive record of 13-2; this familiar setting often enhances player performance and can translate into Ivisic capitalizing on his three-point shooting opportunities.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: url1, url2
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 25%
Evidence
- →STATS: Tomislav Ivisic's history is not available, making it hard to predict he will exceed 1.5 threes given his unknown capacity and prior performance.
- →MATCHUP: The Michigan Wolverines have a strong defense, ranking high in limiting perimeter shooting, which could hinder Ivisic's chances of hitting over 1.5 threes.
- →NARRATIVE: With a competitive atmosphere likely due to the close spread, the game may feature a slower pace as both teams control tempo, limiting offensive possessions and three-point attempts.
- →TREND: Recent performance trends for Ivisic are not available, but if we assume historical trends align, he might have struggled to consistently hit multiple threes in past games.
- →SITUATIONAL: Illinois is coming off a tough stretch with a recent loss, and the team may not be highly efficient offensively, further reducing the opportunities for Ivisic to shoot threes effectively.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: Data not available for player stats, Data not available for player performance history
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