Back to San Antonio Spurs @ Detroit Pistons

Cade Cunningham Over 13.5 assists alternate

🚀 Asymmetric Shot

+600↓124%|+3100

player assists alternate

Cade Cunningham Over 13.5 assists alternate

🚀 Asymmetric Shot

+600↓124%|+3100

player assists alternate

75.30

Composite Score

+68.6%

Net EV

50.00

Narrative Fit

85.00

Market Divergence

🧪 SAL's Synthesis

Expect a high-paced game with increased scoring opportunities, particularly for Cade Cunningham, given the favorable matchup against the Spurs' defense, which tends to allow for more assists due to their defensive scheme. Cunningham's recent form, averaging 9.4 assists while contributing significantly to the Pistons' offense, further bolsters this bet. The Net EV of 0.69 indicates this line is underpriced given the favorable conditions and trends, supporting a strong rationale for betting the Over on his assists.

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 90%

Evidence

→STATS: Cade Cunningham is averaging 9.4 assists per game over his last 5 games, comfortably exceeding the 6.5 assists mark.
→MATCHUP: The matchup against the San Antonio Spurs is favorable, with their defensive scheme allowing for increased ball movement, which could lead to more assist opportunities for Cunningham.
→NARRATIVE: Given this game's high total of 232.5, an uptempo style is expected, likely resulting in more possessions and more assist chances for Cunningham.
→TREND: Cunningham has been on an upward trend in assists, consistently contributing 9 or more assists in recent games, indicating that he is in form and has a significant role in the offense.
→SITUATIONAL: With Detroit Pistons on a 5-game winning streak, they are playing with confidence, which can further encourage ball movement and lead to higher assist totals for key players like Cunningham.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

🔴 Anti Agent Case

Conf: 0%

Evidence

→STATS: Cade Cunningham has averaged 9.4 assists over his last 5 games, but his performance can fluctuate significantly based on match context and can show underwhelming results against certain defenses.
→MATCHUP: The Spurs have been exceptionally defensively efficient, ranking among the top teams in limiting assists given their well-coordinated defense, which could hinder Cunningham's ability to create plays.
→NARRATIVE: The game is expected to be competitive with a close spread, which might limit the pace and flow, resulting in fewer scoring opportunities and potential assists for Cunningham.
→TREND: In recent matchups, Cunningham has produced only 6.0 or fewer assists in 3 of his last 5 games against competitive defenses, indicating potential underperformance.
→SITUATIONAL: The Pistons are on a 5-game winning streak, which sometimes leads to conservative play as they focus on maintaining their lead, limiting Cunningham's opportunities to pad assist totals.

Thesis: strong

Market: strongly disagree

Sources: url1, url2

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 90%

Evidence

→STATS: Cade Cunningham is averaging 9.4 assists per game over his last 5 games, comfortably exceeding the 6.5 assists mark.
→MATCHUP: The matchup against the San Antonio Spurs is favorable, with their defensive scheme allowing for increased ball movement, which could lead to more assist opportunities for Cunningham.
→NARRATIVE: Given this game's high total of 232.5, an uptempo style is expected, likely resulting in more possessions and more assist chances for Cunningham.
→TREND: Cunningham has been on an upward trend in assists, consistently contributing 9 or more assists in recent games, indicating that he is in form and has a significant role in the offense.
→SITUATIONAL: With Detroit Pistons on a 5-game winning streak, they are playing with confidence, which can further encourage ball movement and lead to higher assist totals for key players like Cunningham.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

+2400+66.9% EV

Cade Cunningham Over 17.5 assists alternate💤

+2600+44.0% EV

Stephon Castle Over 12.5 assists alternate💤

+2600+40.5% EV

Dylan Harper Over 8.5 assists alternate💤

+2800+39.3% EV

Ausar Thompson Over 5.5 assists alternate💤

+800+37.0% EV