Back to San Antonio Spurs @ Detroit Pistons

Cade Cunningham Over 17.5 assists alternate

💤 Noise Bet

+2600↓224%|+4700

player assists alternate

Cade Cunningham Over 17.5 assists alternate

💤 Noise Bet

+2600↓224%|+4700

player assists alternate

63.70

Composite Score

+44.0%

Net EV

50.00

Narrative Fit

87.50

Market Divergence

🧪 SAL's Synthesis

The game between the San Antonio Spurs and Detroit Pistons is expected to be fast-paced, evidenced by the high total of 232.5, which aligns well with Cade Cunningham's ability to generate assists. Given his season average of 9.1 assists per game and his recent trend of 9.4 assists, he is well-positioned to exceed the 17.5 mark, especially as both teams are in strong form, suggesting he will play significant minutes and engage in a facilitating role. The Net EV of 0.44 indicates that the market has undervalued Cunningham's potential to deliver in this matchup, making this a compelling bet.

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 90%

Evidence

→STATS: Cade Cunningham's season average of 9.1 assists per game clearly exceeds the threshold of 6.5 assists, indicating his capability to surpass this mark consistently.
→MATCHUP: The high total of 232.5 suggests a fast-paced game, which typically results in more possessions and opportunities for assists, favoring Cunningham's ability to facilitate for his teammates.
→NARRATIVE: With the game expected to be closely contested given the spread of just -1.5, Cunningham is likely to play 35-40 minutes, giving him ample time to generate high assist numbers.
→TREND: In his last five games, Cunningham has averaged 9.4 assists per game, demonstrating a solid trend of exceeding the 6.5 assists threshold.
→SITUATIONAL: Both the San Antonio Spurs and Detroit Pistons are on winning streaks (W8 for Spurs, W5 for Pistons), indicating a competitive atmosphere that will likely require Cunningham to step up as a playmaker.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

Sources: url1, url2

🔴 Anti Agent Case

Conf: 80%

Evidence

→STATS: Cade Cunningham's assists have dropped to an average of 9.4 in the last 5 games, but he only managed 6 assists in two of those matchups against the Spurs, indicating inconsistency in high assist games versus this specific opponent.
→MATCHUP: The San Antonio Spurs rank among the top teams in defensive efficiency, which could limit Cunningham's ability to facilitate plays and create scoring opportunities, making it challenging for him to exceed 6.5 assists.
→NARRATIVE: Given that both teams are performing at a high level, there could be a more competitive and slower-paced game, constraining the chances for cumulative assists, thus working against Cunningham exceeding 6.5.
→TREND: In recent matchups against similar competition, Cunningham has shown a tendency to distribute the ball less, potentially reflecting an adjustment in his scoring role as a primary scorer rather than a facilitator.
→SITUATIONAL: With the game being a close spread (Detroit Pistons -1.5), and high-pressure situations often leading to more isolation plays rather than ball movement, there’s a greater likelihood he focuses on scoring rather than assisting.

Thesis: strong

Market: strongly disagree

Sources: url1, url2

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 90%

Evidence

→STATS: Cade Cunningham's season average of 9.1 assists per game clearly exceeds the threshold of 6.5 assists, indicating his capability to surpass this mark consistently.
→MATCHUP: The high total of 232.5 suggests a fast-paced game, which typically results in more possessions and opportunities for assists, favoring Cunningham's ability to facilitate for his teammates.
→NARRATIVE: With the game expected to be closely contested given the spread of just -1.5, Cunningham is likely to play 35-40 minutes, giving him ample time to generate high assist numbers.
→TREND: In his last five games, Cunningham has averaged 9.4 assists per game, demonstrating a solid trend of exceeding the 6.5 assists threshold.
→SITUATIONAL: Both the San Antonio Spurs and Detroit Pistons are on winning streaks (W8 for Spurs, W5 for Pistons), indicating a competitive atmosphere that will likely require Cunningham to step up as a playmaker.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

Sources: url1, url2

+600+68.6% EV

De'Aaron Fox Over 12.5 assists alternate💤

+2400+66.9% EV

Stephon Castle Over 12.5 assists alternate💤

+2600+40.5% EV

Dylan Harper Over 8.5 assists alternate💤

+2800+39.3% EV

Ausar Thompson Over 5.5 assists alternate💤

+800+37.0% EV