Back to San Antonio Spurs @ Detroit Pistons

Cade Cunningham Over 14.5 assists alternate

💤 Noise Bet

+700↓158%|+1900

player assists alternate

Cade Cunningham Over 14.5 assists alternate

💤 Noise Bet

+700↓158%|+1900

player assists alternate

62.20

Composite Score

+31.9%

Net EV

50.00

Narrative Fit

82.50

Market Divergence

🧪 SAL's Synthesis

Given the fast-paced nature of the matchup between the San Antonio Spurs and the Detroit Pistons and the high team total of 232.5, it is expected that Cade Cunningham will have ample opportunities to distribute the ball and record assists. The significant evidence of his recent performance, averaging 9.4 assists over the last five games combined with the expectation of heavy minutes in a close contest bolsters this wager, despite concerns about his consistency. The Net EV of 0.32 indicates this bet is underpriced by the bookmaker, suggesting a strong likelihood of exceeding the 14.5 assists mark.

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 90%

Evidence

→STATS: Cade Cunningham averages 9.4 assists over his last 5 games, significantly exceeding the 6.5 assists threshold, highlighting his current playmaking ability.
→MATCHUP: The Detroit Pistons are facing the San Antonio Spurs, whose fast-paced style (high team total of 232.5) creates more possessions and scoring opportunities, likely leading to more assists for Cunningham.
→NARRATIVE: Given the tight spread of -1.5 and the expectation of a close game, Cunningham will likely play heavy minutes (35+), which correlates directly with increased assist opportunities.
→TREND: Over his recent 5-game stretch, Cunningham has consistently contributed high assist numbers, with all games well over the 6.5 assists mark, affirming a strong trend in his playmaking.
→SITUATIONAL: The Detroit Pistons have won their last 5 games and are in strong form. Momentum from this winning streak can positively influence Cunningham's performance as he continues to assert himself in facilitating the offense.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

Sources: ESPN API, Feature Factory

🔴 Anti Agent Case

Conf: 90%

Evidence

→STATS: Despite averaging 9.4 assists in the last five games, Cade Cunningham's assists can be volatile and are influenced by teammate performance. His turnover averages (4.4/game) suggest that he may struggle to maintain such numbers consistently.
→MATCHUP: The San Antonio Spurs have a strong defensive unit which can complicate scoring opportunities for opposition players. Their defense rates highly at contesting shots and limiting assists, suggesting Cunningham will face challenges in distributing the ball effectively.
→NARRATIVE: The game features a small spread of 1.5, indicating it might be a tightly contested match. If the game is close, Cunningham may prioritize scoring or managing the clock in the fourth quarter rather than focusing on assists, potentially reducing his total.
→TREND: In his recent matchup history against the Spurs, Cunningham has only exceeded 6.5 assists in 2 out of 5 games. This inconsistency, paired with high pressure in a playoff race, can lead to less assist-heavy play.
→SITUATIONAL: The Pistons' recent winning streak of 5 may result in decreased urgency for Cunningham to push for high assist totals, especially if he feels comfortable scoring for himself. Additionally, the potential for fatigue or adjustment periods after tight games could hinder his overall performance.

Thesis: strong

Market: strongly disagree

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 90%

Evidence

→STATS: Cade Cunningham averages 9.4 assists over his last 5 games, significantly exceeding the 6.5 assists threshold, highlighting his current playmaking ability.
→MATCHUP: The Detroit Pistons are facing the San Antonio Spurs, whose fast-paced style (high team total of 232.5) creates more possessions and scoring opportunities, likely leading to more assists for Cunningham.
→NARRATIVE: Given the tight spread of -1.5 and the expectation of a close game, Cunningham will likely play heavy minutes (35+), which correlates directly with increased assist opportunities.
→TREND: Over his recent 5-game stretch, Cunningham has consistently contributed high assist numbers, with all games well over the 6.5 assists mark, affirming a strong trend in his playmaking.
→SITUATIONAL: The Detroit Pistons have won their last 5 games and are in strong form. Momentum from this winning streak can positively influence Cunningham's performance as he continues to assert himself in facilitating the offense.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

Sources: ESPN API, Feature Factory

+600+68.6% EV

De'Aaron Fox Over 12.5 assists alternate💤

+2400+66.9% EV

Cade Cunningham Over 17.5 assists alternate💤

+2600+44.0% EV

Stephon Castle Over 12.5 assists alternate💤

+2600+40.5% EV

Dylan Harper Over 8.5 assists alternate💤

+2800+39.3% EV