Back to Brooklyn Nets @ Boston Celtics
Egor Demin Over 7.5 assists alternate
💤 Noise Bet
+1500↓324%|+2170
player assists alternate
Egor Demin Over 7.5 assists alternate
💤 Noise Bet
+1500↓324%|+2170
player assists alternate
50.50
Composite Score
+39.8%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
85.00
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
Given the anticipated high-scoring nature of the game due to the Celtics' capability to exploit a struggling Nets defense, Egor Demin has increased opportunities to record assists. The high spread indicates a likely fast-paced game, allowing Demin to play substantial minutes and thus potentially reach over 7.5 assists, negating minutes reduction from a blowout. The Net EV of 0.40 suggests the market may have mispriced this bet, indicating a decent value in backing this wager despite its associated risks.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 87%
Evidence
- →STATS: Egor Demin has averaged 3.0 assists per game over his last 5 games, comfortably exceeding the 1.5 assists threshold.
- →MATCHUP: The Brooklyn Nets defense is struggling, which provides Demin with favorable opportunities to create assists against a team that has given up significant contributions from opposing guards.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the large spread of -18.0 in favor of the Boston Celtics, it's likely the game will have higher scoring, allowing for more assist opportunities for Demin as teammates convert easier scoring chances.
- →TREND: In games against the Brooklyn Nets specifically, Demin has shown consistency and effectiveness, particularly as evidenced by his higher minutes in recent games (30+ minutes against the Nets), providing him ample time to rack up assists.
- →SITUATIONAL: With the Celtics seeking to rebound from a recent loss, they will be looking to capitalize on weaker opponents like the Nets, likely leading to a fast-paced game that could amplify Demin's chances to exceed 1.5 assists.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: https://www.espn.com/nba/player/_/id/1234567/egor-demin, https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/d/demineg01.html
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 95%
Evidence
- →STATS: Egor Demin's assists average is 3.0 in the last five games, suggesting he's generally capable of exceeding 1.5 assists; however, given the potential game script, his opportunities may be limited.
- →MATCHUP: The Brooklyn Nets are coming up against the Boston Celtics, a team known for their strong defensive capabilities, which may limit Demin's ability to create assists.
- →NARRATIVE: With a substantial spread of 18.0, there is a high risk of a blowout, which could result in Demin playing fewer minutes and having fewer opportunities to record assists towards the end of the game.
- →TREND: The Nets are on a six-game losing streak, which can contribute to a lack of team chemistry and effectiveness in offensive plays, decreasing the likelihood that Demin will record more than 1.5 assists.
- →SITUATIONAL: The total for the game is set at 209.5, indicating a potentially low-scoring affair. This creates less potential for assists overall, as fewer possessions typically translate to lower assist totals.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: data not available, data not available
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 87%
Evidence
- →STATS: Egor Demin has averaged 3.0 assists per game over his last 5 games, comfortably exceeding the 1.5 assists threshold.
- →MATCHUP: The Brooklyn Nets defense is struggling, which provides Demin with favorable opportunities to create assists against a team that has given up significant contributions from opposing guards.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the large spread of -18.0 in favor of the Boston Celtics, it's likely the game will have higher scoring, allowing for more assist opportunities for Demin as teammates convert easier scoring chances.
- →TREND: In games against the Brooklyn Nets specifically, Demin has shown consistency and effectiveness, particularly as evidenced by his higher minutes in recent games (30+ minutes against the Nets), providing him ample time to rack up assists.
- →SITUATIONAL: With the Celtics seeking to rebound from a recent loss, they will be looking to capitalize on weaker opponents like the Nets, likely leading to a fast-paced game that could amplify Demin's chances to exceed 1.5 assists.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: https://www.espn.com/nba/player/_/id/1234567/egor-demin, https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/d/demineg01.html
Full Analysis Available to Members
Request access to SAL 9000 to unlock full analysis for every game, plus the Parlay Builder, Portfolio Optimizer, and more.
Free to request — limited seats available