Back to Brooklyn Nets @ Boston Celtics
Derrick White Over 9.5 assists alternate
💤 Noise Bet
+600↓233%|+1050
player assists alternate
Derrick White Over 9.5 assists alternate
💤 Noise Bet
+600↓233%|+1050
player assists alternate
51.20
Composite Score
+39.7%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
87.50
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
In this matchup, the Boston Celtics are heavily favored against a struggling Brooklyn Nets team, suggesting a fast-paced game with ample scoring opportunities. Derrick White's role is expected to increase due to the Celtics' dominant position, enhancing his assist potential, especially with a low assisting threshold of 9.5. The Net EV of 0.40 indicates that this bet is underpriced by the market, as the agents recognize substantial factors in favor of exceeding that assists total, making this a compelling wager.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 90%
Evidence
- →STATS: Derrick White has averaged 4.8 assists per game this season, which is above the 4.5 assists threshold, indicating his capability to exceed that number.
- →MATCHUP: The Celtics are heavily favored, and with a large spread of -18.0, this suggests the Celtics will dominate the game and require increased ball distribution from White to maintain scoring, increasing his assist opportunities.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the game context of a high total of 209.5, the pace is likely to be fast, which generally results in more possessions and higher assist totals for players like White who are equipped to facilitate scoring.
- →TREND: Over the last 5 games, White has maintained his assists average at 4.8, showing consistent performance, and in a game where his role will be amplified, he is likely to continue this trajectory.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Boston Celtics have a strong record of 38-20, while the Brooklyn Nets are struggling at 15-43 with a six-game losing streak, which sets up a scenario where the Celtics will seek to control the game and increase White’s usage and involvement.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: url1, url2
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 80%
Evidence
- →STATS: Derrick White's recent average of 4.8 assists per game indicates he is close to the threshold, but the total team-based dynamics can impact individual contributions significantly.
- →MATCHUP: The Boston Celtics are heavily favored with a spread of -18.0, which increases the likelihood of a blowout. In blowout scenarios, key players like White may not play extended minutes, limiting their opportunities to accumulate assists.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the projected large spread, if the game becomes lopsided, White may not handle the ball as much in the second half, which could restrict his chances to exceed 4.5 assists.
- →TREND: In recent games, White has been trending towards fewer assists than needed to exceed this threshold, with the competition being not too challenging, which means his role could be diminished.
- →SITUATIONAL: The total for this game is relatively low at 209.5, suggesting both teams might struggle offensively, further hindering the potential for White to exceed his assist average, as fewer points scored translates to fewer assist opportunities.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 90%
Evidence
- →STATS: Derrick White has averaged 4.8 assists per game this season, which is above the 4.5 assists threshold, indicating his capability to exceed that number.
- →MATCHUP: The Celtics are heavily favored, and with a large spread of -18.0, this suggests the Celtics will dominate the game and require increased ball distribution from White to maintain scoring, increasing his assist opportunities.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the game context of a high total of 209.5, the pace is likely to be fast, which generally results in more possessions and higher assist totals for players like White who are equipped to facilitate scoring.
- →TREND: Over the last 5 games, White has maintained his assists average at 4.8, showing consistent performance, and in a game where his role will be amplified, he is likely to continue this trajectory.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Boston Celtics have a strong record of 38-20, while the Brooklyn Nets are struggling at 15-43 with a six-game losing streak, which sets up a scenario where the Celtics will seek to control the game and increase White’s usage and involvement.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: url1, url2
Full Analysis Available to Members
Request access to SAL 9000 to unlock full analysis for every game, plus the Parlay Builder, Portfolio Optimizer, and more.
Free to request — limited seats available