Back to Brooklyn Nets @ Boston Celtics
Sam Hauser Under 15.5 points rebounds assists
💤 Noise Bet
-115— stable
player points rebounds assists
Sam Hauser Under 15.5 points rebounds assists
💤 Noise Bet
-115— stable
player points rebounds assists
29.30
Composite Score
+7.2%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
26.90
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
In this matchup, the Boston Celtics are likely to dominate the struggling Brooklyn Nets, creating a scenario where Sam Hauser may not see enough minutes or usage to exceed a combined total of 15.5 points, rebounds, and assists. Supportive evidence indicates Hauser has been averaging just 11.4 combined recently, and with the large spread suggesting a potential blowout, he may play limited minutes. The positive Net EV of 0.07 reflects a slight edge in favor of this bet, confirming that the market may have undervalued Hauser's output potential in this circumstances.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 35%
Evidence
- →STATS: Sam Hauser's verified averages for the last five games show he is scoring only 6.6 points per game, well below the threshold of 15.5 when combined with rebounds and assists.
- →MATCHUP: The large spread of 18.0 suggests a potential blowout where Hauser may see limited minutes if the Boston Celtics extend their lead, negatively impacting his chances to accumulate stats.
- →NARRATIVE: A key narrative indicates that in such mismatched games, bench players often play fewer minutes, thereby reducing opportunities for Hauser to exceed 15.5 points, rebounds, and assists.
- →TREND: Over the last five games, Hauser has underperformed, averaging 6.6 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 1.0 assists, which totals just 11.4 combined, emphasizing the likelihood he will not hit the over.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Celtics are facing a struggling Nets team with a 15-43 record, which could lead to a less competitive game environment where the starters do not play heavy minutes, further limiting Hauser's potential output.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 10%
Evidence
- →STATS: Sam Hauser is averaging 10.2 points, rebounds, and assists combined in his last five games, which is just shy of the threshold but shows potential for improvement given the large spread of the game.
- →MATCHUP: The Brooklyn Nets are struggling significantly this season with a 15-43 record, which could lead to a high possession game benefiting Hauser's opportunities for scoring and assists.
- →NARRATIVE: Given that the game spread is Boston Celtics -18.0, it suggests a likely blowout scenario where the Celtics may rest their stars early, increasing Hauser's minutes and potential usage in garbage time.
- →TREND: In his last five games, Hauser has been increasing his rebounds, averaging 3.8 boards, which indicates a rising trend in his overall contribution to the game.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Celtics are coming into this game after a loss, creating motivation to perform well against a lower-ranked team like the Nets. This could lead to an aggressive offensive strategy that allows Hauser more involvement.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 35%
Evidence
- →STATS: Sam Hauser's verified averages for the last five games show he is scoring only 6.6 points per game, well below the threshold of 15.5 when combined with rebounds and assists.
- →MATCHUP: The large spread of 18.0 suggests a potential blowout where Hauser may see limited minutes if the Boston Celtics extend their lead, negatively impacting his chances to accumulate stats.
- →NARRATIVE: A key narrative indicates that in such mismatched games, bench players often play fewer minutes, thereby reducing opportunities for Hauser to exceed 15.5 points, rebounds, and assists.
- →TREND: Over the last five games, Hauser has underperformed, averaging 6.6 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 1.0 assists, which totals just 11.4 combined, emphasizing the likelihood he will not hit the over.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Celtics are facing a struggling Nets team with a 15-43 record, which could lead to a less competitive game environment where the starters do not play heavy minutes, further limiting Hauser's potential output.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
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