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Baylor Scheierman Under 12.5 points rebounds assists
🎯 Core Value Bet
+100— stable
player points rebounds assists
Baylor Scheierman Under 12.5 points rebounds assists
🎯 Core Value Bet
+100— stable
player points rebounds assists
61.00
Composite Score
+25.4%
Net EV
65.00
Narrative Fit
70.00
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
In this matchup, we expect a low-scoring game due to the Celtics' strong defensive presence and Scheierman's limited role, with averages significantly below the 12.5 mark. His recent trend of only averaging 11.4 minutes per game and subpar performance further limits his chances to exceed this total, making the Under a compelling wager. The positive Net EV of 0.25 indicates that the market is mispricing this bet, supporting its value based on well-aligned betting logic and narratives.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 70%
Evidence
- →STATS: Baylor Scheierman is averaging only 3.6 points, 2.1 rebounds, and 1.1 assists this season, resulting in a total of 6.8 combined points, rebounds, and assists, which is far below the 12.5 threshold.
- →MATCHUP: The Brooklyn Nets are facing the Boston Celtics, who are currently one of the top defensive teams in the league, further limiting Scheierman's potential to score and contribute meaningfully.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the expected blowout with a large spread of 18 points in favor of the Celtics, game script may lead to reduced minutes for Scheierman as starters are pulled early in non-competitive segments.
- →TREND: Over the last five games, Scheierman's performance has been subpar, with averages of just 1.6 points, 1.6 rebounds, and 1.2 assists, indicating a significant underperformance against the required total.
- →SITUATIONAL: Scheierman is averaging only 11.4 minutes per game in his last five outings, which significantly restricts his opportunities to exceed the combined total of 12.5 points, rebounds, and assists.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: ESPN, ESPN, ESPN, ESPN
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 15%
Evidence
- →STATS: Baylor Scheierman's recent averages show he has been performing below his season stats, averaging only 1.6 points, 1.6 rebounds, and 1.2 assists over his last 5 games.
- →MATCHUP: With the Brooklyn Nets facing the Boston Celtics, who have a strong defense, this could lead to increased pressure on Scheierman to contribute more when given the opportunity.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the large spread (-18.0) in favor of the Celtics, if the Nets find themselves in a deficit, they will need to aggressively seek scoring opportunities which might lead Scheierman to play extended minutes.
- →TREND: The trend from Scheierman's game-by-game breakdown shows that he had a standout performance against the Washington Wizards where he had 6 rebounds, suggesting he has the potential to exceed his averages when given the right chance.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Nets are on a 6-game losing streak, which may force coach adjustments and potential increased playing time for bench players like Scheierman as the team seeks to evaluate talent.
Thesis: moderate
Market: disagree
Sources: https://www.espn.com, https://www.basketballreference.com
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 70%
Evidence
- →STATS: Baylor Scheierman is averaging only 3.6 points, 2.1 rebounds, and 1.1 assists this season, resulting in a total of 6.8 combined points, rebounds, and assists, which is far below the 12.5 threshold.
- →MATCHUP: The Brooklyn Nets are facing the Boston Celtics, who are currently one of the top defensive teams in the league, further limiting Scheierman's potential to score and contribute meaningfully.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the expected blowout with a large spread of 18 points in favor of the Celtics, game script may lead to reduced minutes for Scheierman as starters are pulled early in non-competitive segments.
- →TREND: Over the last five games, Scheierman's performance has been subpar, with averages of just 1.6 points, 1.6 rebounds, and 1.2 assists, indicating a significant underperformance against the required total.
- →SITUATIONAL: Scheierman is averaging only 11.4 minutes per game in his last five outings, which significantly restricts his opportunities to exceed the combined total of 12.5 points, rebounds, and assists.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: ESPN, ESPN, ESPN, ESPN
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