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Jaylon Tyson double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+1200↑40%|-800
player double double
Jaylon Tyson double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+1200↑40%|-800
player double double
35.50
Composite Score
+5.6%
Net EV
35.00
Narrative Fit
16.90
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
This bet on Jaylon Tyson achieving a double-double does not hold up against the expected game script, which suggests a competitive matchup where both teams may focus on defense. With Tyson averaging only 3.6 points and 2.0 rebounds per game this season, combined with the Cavaliers' strong defensive setup, the likelihood of him reaching the double-digit thresholds in any two categories seems low. The Net EV of 0.06 reflects a slight edge, but the strong counterpoints raised about Tyson's inconsistent playing time and performance make it an unreliable wager for this game context.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 20%
Evidence
- →STATS: In his last game against the Cleveland Cavaliers, Jaylon Tyson recorded a double-double with 10 rebounds and 12 points, demonstrating his capability against this opponent.
- →MATCHUP: The Pistons are favored to win by 5.5 points, which suggests a competitive game. Close games typically lead to player exposure on the court, potentially increasing Tyson's minutes and stats.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the game's high total of 227.5, a fast-paced game could result in more scoring opportunities, which directly benefits a player like Tyson who can contribute in both points and rebounds.
- →TREND: Over his last five games, Tyson has averaged 2.2 assists and is seen as increasingly involved in the offense, which increases his chances of achieving a double-double.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Pistons are currently on a one-game winning streak. Momentum can positively impact player performance and motivation, pushing Tyson to elevate his stats in a big match.
Thesis: moderate
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: ESPN, Basketball Reference
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 90%
Evidence
- →STATS: Jaylon Tyson has averaged only 3.6 points, 2.0 rebounds, and 0.9 assists per game this season, significantly below the double-double threshold of 10 in any two categories.
- →MATCHUP: The Cleveland Cavaliers are currently ranked 2nd in the Central Division and are known for their strong defensive setups, which could limit Tyson's scoring and rebounding opportunities.
- →NARRATIVE: The game context indicates a likely competitive nature where both teams focus on defense, reducing the chances for Tyson to achieve the high numbers needed for a double-double.
- →TREND: In the last 5 games, Tyson has not shown consistent performance reflecting capability for a double-double, with his highest stats being 13 rebounds in one game, but his scoring remains consistently low.
- →SITUATIONAL: Tyson's current minutes per game stand at just 9.6, meaning he does not have the opportunity to accumulate the necessary stats for a double-double, especially in a competitive game environment.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 20%
Evidence
- →STATS: In his last game against the Cleveland Cavaliers, Jaylon Tyson recorded a double-double with 10 rebounds and 12 points, demonstrating his capability against this opponent.
- →MATCHUP: The Pistons are favored to win by 5.5 points, which suggests a competitive game. Close games typically lead to player exposure on the court, potentially increasing Tyson's minutes and stats.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the game's high total of 227.5, a fast-paced game could result in more scoring opportunities, which directly benefits a player like Tyson who can contribute in both points and rebounds.
- →TREND: Over his last five games, Tyson has averaged 2.2 assists and is seen as increasingly involved in the offense, which increases his chances of achieving a double-double.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Pistons are currently on a one-game winning streak. Momentum can positively impact player performance and motivation, pushing Tyson to elevate his stats in a big match.
Thesis: moderate
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: ESPN, Basketball Reference
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