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Jaylon Tyson double double

🚀 Asymmetric Shot

+1380↑28%|-540

player double double

Jaylon Tyson double double

🚀 Asymmetric Shot

+1380↑28%|-540

player double double

36.80

Composite Score

+9.2%

Net EV

50.00

Narrative Fit

36.70

Market Divergence

🧪 SAL's Synthesis

In this matchup, despite a slightly positive Net EV of 0.09, the evidence suggests that Jaylon Tyson's chances of achieving a double-double are limited. His current role, coupled with the strong Cavaliers' defense and the potential for reduced minutes in a blowout scenario, diminishes the likelihood of him accumulating the necessary stats to hit this bet. The mixed narrative and slight edge in probability indicate that this bet is not a high-value opportunity given the expected game conditions.

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 30%

Evidence

→STATS: In the last 5 games, Jaylon Tyson has averaged 5.4 rebounds and 2.2 assists, demonstrating his ability to contribute significantly in both categories.
→MATCHUP: The Cavaliers have struggled against teams with versatile guards, which allows players like Tyson to exploit mismatches and create scoring opportunities.
→NARRATIVE: Given the high total of 227.5 and medium spread of 5.5 in this game, the likelihood of a competitive back-and-forth match increases Tyson's potential for extended minutes and opportunities to accumulate stats.
→TREND: Jaylon Tyson's recent performance shows an upward trend, with increasing minutes averaging nearly 29 in the past 5 games, which supports his ability to reach double digits in points, rebounds, or assists.
→SITUATIONAL: The Pistons, currently on a 1-game winning streak and positioned 1st in the division, provide an energized setting for Tyson where his contributions may be critical to maintain momentum against a solid Cavaliers team.

Thesis: strong

Market: slightly disagree

Sources: ESPN, Team Stats

🔴 Anti Agent Case

Conf: 95%

Evidence

→STATS: Jaylon Tyson's average of 2.0 rebounds and 0.9 assists this season suggests he won't reach the double-double threshold of 10+ in two categories, especially given his current role.
→MATCHUP: The Cleveland Cavaliers have a strong defensive presence, which may limit Tyson's scoring and rebounding opportunities, making a double-double even less likely.
→NARRATIVE: Given the game's high total at 227.5, it suggests a potential for efficient scoring rather than concentrating on one player achieving a double-double, which dilutes the statistical opportunities available for Tyson.
→TREND: In his last 5 games, despite some increased minutes, Tyson has failed to consistently produce enough points or assists to suggest that reaching a double-double is realistic.
→SITUATIONAL: The Detroit Pistons being favored by -5.5 indicates that they may control the game pace; in potential blowout scenarios, Tyson may have his minutes reduced, further hurting his double-double chances.

Thesis: strong

Market: strongly disagree

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 30%

Evidence

→STATS: In the last 5 games, Jaylon Tyson has averaged 5.4 rebounds and 2.2 assists, demonstrating his ability to contribute significantly in both categories.
→MATCHUP: The Cavaliers have struggled against teams with versatile guards, which allows players like Tyson to exploit mismatches and create scoring opportunities.
→NARRATIVE: Given the high total of 227.5 and medium spread of 5.5 in this game, the likelihood of a competitive back-and-forth match increases Tyson's potential for extended minutes and opportunities to accumulate stats.
→TREND: Jaylon Tyson's recent performance shows an upward trend, with increasing minutes averaging nearly 29 in the past 5 games, which supports his ability to reach double digits in points, rebounds, or assists.
→SITUATIONAL: The Pistons, currently on a 1-game winning streak and positioned 1st in the division, provide an energized setting for Tyson where his contributions may be critical to maintain momentum against a solid Cavaliers team.

Thesis: strong

Market: slightly disagree

Sources: ESPN, Team Stats