Back to Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons
Tobias Harris double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+1420↑5%|-80
player double double
Tobias Harris double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+1420↑5%|-80
player double double
44.20
Composite Score
+9.4%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
35.30
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
Given the low likelihood of Harris achieving a double-double against a strong Cleveland Cavaliers defense, which ranks 4th in defensive efficiency, this wager presents significant risk. While the high-scoring nature of the matchup and Harris's past performance against the Pistons suggests potential, his recent averages and limited minutes reduce the reliability of this bet. The Net EV of 0.09 reflects a slight edge but is not compelling enough due to the strong opposing evidence from the anti agent about his recent performance and matchup challenges.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 25%
Evidence
- →STATS: Tobias Harris has averaged 3.6 rebounds per game over the last 5 games, along with 13.8 points and 2.2 assists, indicating his ability to produce in multiple stat categories.
- →MATCHUP: The Detroit Pistons are currently ranked 1st in their division and have a high-scoring matchup, which often leads to higher individual player stats across points, rebounds, and assists.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the high total of 227.5 in this game, it is expected to be a competitive and high-scoring affair, which presents more opportunities for Harris to accumulate stats necessary for a double-double.
- →TREND: In previous matchups against the Pistons, Harris has averaged 7.0 rebounds, showing he is capable of hitting double figures in rebounding against this opponent.
- →SITUATIONAL: With the Detroit Pistons on a winning streak and competing for playoff positioning, the game is likely to be close, meaning Harris can benefit from increased minutes and usage, contributing to his stats.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 90%
Evidence
- →STATS: Tobias Harris' recent performance shows he is averaging only 13.8 points, 3.6 rebounds, and 2.2 assists over the last five games, significantly underperforming the combination needed for a double-double.
- →MATCHUP: The Cleveland Cavaliers are currently 4th in the league in defensive efficiency, which means Harris will face a challenging matchup limiting his scoring and rebounding opportunities.
- →NARRATIVE: The game script favors the Detroit Pistons, who are are currently on a winning streak, suggesting that if they lead, Harris may not play heavy minutes in the second half, reducing his chances to accumulate double-digit stats.
- →TREND: In his last five games, Harris has achieved a double-double only once, indicating a lack of consistent performance in accumulating the necessary points and rebounds.
- →SITUATIONAL: Harris is currently playing fewer minutes, averaging only 22.6 minutes per game recently, which directly impacts his ability to achieve the required totals for a double-double.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: ESPN, NBA Stats
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 25%
Evidence
- →STATS: Tobias Harris has averaged 3.6 rebounds per game over the last 5 games, along with 13.8 points and 2.2 assists, indicating his ability to produce in multiple stat categories.
- →MATCHUP: The Detroit Pistons are currently ranked 1st in their division and have a high-scoring matchup, which often leads to higher individual player stats across points, rebounds, and assists.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the high total of 227.5 in this game, it is expected to be a competitive and high-scoring affair, which presents more opportunities for Harris to accumulate stats necessary for a double-double.
- →TREND: In previous matchups against the Pistons, Harris has averaged 7.0 rebounds, showing he is capable of hitting double figures in rebounding against this opponent.
- →SITUATIONAL: With the Detroit Pistons on a winning streak and competing for playoff positioning, the game is likely to be close, meaning Harris can benefit from increased minutes and usage, contributing to his stats.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
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