Back to Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons
Tobias Harris double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+1000— stable
player double double
Tobias Harris double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+1000— stable
player double double
52.00
Composite Score
+7.5%
Net EV
80.00
Narrative Fit
29.90
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
Considering the expected fast-paced game between the Cavaliers and Pistons, Tobias Harris has a reasonable chance of achieving a double-double due to his recent offensive output and matchups against a Cavaliers defense that has shown vulnerabilities. While the Anti Agent cites Harris's overall low averages this season as a concern, the Pro Agent's insights into his recent performances and the pace of the game suggest that the conditions could favor him accumulating enough points and rebounds. The Net EV of 0.07 reflects a slight underpricing of this wager, making it a lean bet despite the mixed narratives.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 25%
Evidence
- →STATS: In his last five games against the Pistons, Tobias Harris averaged 7.0 rebounds, which indicates his ability to contribute significantly in both points and boards needed for a double-double.
- →MATCHUP: The Cavaliers' recent performance against forwards has allowed for increased scoring opportunities; as a forward, Harris can exploit these mismatches to rack up points and rebounds.
- →NARRATIVE: The expected high total of 227.5 points in this game suggests a fast-paced environment which correlates with increased player statistics, benefiting Harris's chances of achieving a double-double.
- →TREND: Tobias Harris has shown improved performance recently, scoring consistently and contributing approximately 2.2 assists per game, which keeps him close to the double-double threshold.
- →SITUATIONAL: With the Pistons on a 1-game win streak and positioned as playoff contenders, their starters may play heavy minutes, providing Harris with ample opportunities to accumulate stats in a competitive game.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 90%
Evidence
- →STATS: Tobias Harris has averaged 5.9 rebounds and 2.2 assists this season, meaning he is well short of the point threshold required for a double-double (10+ points and in any other category).
- →MATCHUP: The Cavaliers are known for their strong defensive capabilities, particularly in limiting opposing forwards' scoring opportunities, which may hinder Harris from achieving the 10-point mark.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the game is expected to be competitive with a projected low total (227.5), it's likely to lead to tighter defensive matchups, further decreasing Harris's potential for accumulating numbers across multiple statistical categories.
- →TREND: In his last five games, Harris has only achieved a double-double once, indicating a trend of underperformance in contributing to more than one category significantly in recent contests.
- →SITUATIONAL: The game context indicates the Pistons are favored to win by 5.5 points, which could lead to a scenario where the starters, including Harris, may see reduced minutes if the game is not competitive late.
Thesis: weak
Market: agree
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 25%
Evidence
- →STATS: In his last five games against the Pistons, Tobias Harris averaged 7.0 rebounds, which indicates his ability to contribute significantly in both points and boards needed for a double-double.
- →MATCHUP: The Cavaliers' recent performance against forwards has allowed for increased scoring opportunities; as a forward, Harris can exploit these mismatches to rack up points and rebounds.
- →NARRATIVE: The expected high total of 227.5 points in this game suggests a fast-paced environment which correlates with increased player statistics, benefiting Harris's chances of achieving a double-double.
- →TREND: Tobias Harris has shown improved performance recently, scoring consistently and contributing approximately 2.2 assists per game, which keeps him close to the double-double threshold.
- →SITUATIONAL: With the Pistons on a 1-game win streak and positioned as playoff contenders, their starters may play heavy minutes, providing Harris with ample opportunities to accumulate stats in a competitive game.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
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