Back to Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons
Jaylon Tyson double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+1150— stable
player double double
Jaylon Tyson double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+1150— stable
player double double
35.10
Composite Score
+7.9%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
31.70
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
The game between the Cavaliers and Pistons is expected to be competitive, with a total of 227.5 suggesting a potential for offense. Jaylon Tyson's recent upward trend in playing minutes and his ability to exploit mismatches against a Cavaliers team struggling with versatile guards opens the door for him to accumulate both points and rebounds, making a double-double within reach. The Net EV of 0.08 indicates that this wager is slightly undervalued by the bookmakers, given the evidence supporting his growing role in a back-and-forth game.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 30%
Evidence
- →STATS: In the last 5 games, Jaylon Tyson has averaged 5.4 rebounds and 2.2 assists, demonstrating his ability to contribute significantly in both categories.
- →MATCHUP: The Cavaliers have struggled against teams with versatile guards, which allows players like Tyson to exploit mismatches and create scoring opportunities.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the high total of 227.5 and medium spread of 5.5 in this game, the likelihood of a competitive back-and-forth match increases Tyson's potential for extended minutes and opportunities to accumulate stats.
- →TREND: Jaylon Tyson's recent performance shows an upward trend, with increasing minutes averaging nearly 29 in the past 5 games, which supports his ability to reach double digits in points, rebounds, or assists.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Pistons, currently on a 1-game winning streak and positioned 1st in the division, provide an energized setting for Tyson where his contributions may be critical to maintain momentum against a solid Cavaliers team.
Thesis: strong
Market: slightly disagree
Sources: ESPN, Team Stats
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 95%
Evidence
- →STATS: Jaylon Tyson's average of 2.0 rebounds and 0.9 assists this season suggests he won't reach the double-double threshold of 10+ in two categories, especially given his current role.
- →MATCHUP: The Cleveland Cavaliers have a strong defensive presence, which may limit Tyson's scoring and rebounding opportunities, making a double-double even less likely.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the game's high total at 227.5, it suggests a potential for efficient scoring rather than concentrating on one player achieving a double-double, which dilutes the statistical opportunities available for Tyson.
- →TREND: In his last 5 games, despite some increased minutes, Tyson has failed to consistently produce enough points or assists to suggest that reaching a double-double is realistic.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Detroit Pistons being favored by -5.5 indicates that they may control the game pace; in potential blowout scenarios, Tyson may have his minutes reduced, further hurting his double-double chances.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 30%
Evidence
- →STATS: In the last 5 games, Jaylon Tyson has averaged 5.4 rebounds and 2.2 assists, demonstrating his ability to contribute significantly in both categories.
- →MATCHUP: The Cavaliers have struggled against teams with versatile guards, which allows players like Tyson to exploit mismatches and create scoring opportunities.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the high total of 227.5 and medium spread of 5.5 in this game, the likelihood of a competitive back-and-forth match increases Tyson's potential for extended minutes and opportunities to accumulate stats.
- →TREND: Jaylon Tyson's recent performance shows an upward trend, with increasing minutes averaging nearly 29 in the past 5 games, which supports his ability to reach double digits in points, rebounds, or assists.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Pistons, currently on a 1-game winning streak and positioned 1st in the division, provide an energized setting for Tyson where his contributions may be critical to maintain momentum against a solid Cavaliers team.
Thesis: strong
Market: slightly disagree
Sources: ESPN, Team Stats
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