Back to San Antonio Spurs @ Detroit Pistons
Cade Cunningham Over 2.5 blocks alternate
💤 Noise Bet
+840↓559%|+1023
player blocks alternate
Cade Cunningham Over 2.5 blocks alternate
💤 Noise Bet
+840↓559%|+1023
player blocks alternate
61.50
Composite Score
+33.5%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
80.00
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
The expectation of a high-paced game with a total set at 232.5 favors increased shot attempts and defensive plays, enhancing Cunningham's chances to hit over 2.5 blocks. While he has shown recent inconsistency, the matchup against the Spurs, who allow plenty of blocks, combined with the likelihood of extended minutes in a close game, gives a reasonable basis for this wager. The Net EV of 0.33 indicates that this bet is underpriced, making it a solid consideration despite the conflicting stats.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 75%
Evidence
- →STATS: Cade Cunningham's blocks per game this season are at 0.8, which is above the threshold needed to exceed 0.5 blocks.
- →MATCHUP: The San Antonio Spurs allow a higher number of blocks per game, giving Cunningham an opportunity to capitalize on this favorable matchup.
- →NARRATIVE: With the game total set at 232.5, the likelihood of a high-paced game will lead to more shot attempts and defensive plays, increasing Cunningham's chances of blocking a shot.
- →TREND: In his last five games, Cunningham recorded blocks in three instances, showcasing a positive trend as he is effectively contributing defensively.
- →SITUATIONAL: The close spread of -1.5 indicates that both teams will likely be competitive throughout the game, which means Cunningham will be on the court for extended minutes, increasing his chances to exceed 0.5 blocks.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 70%
Evidence
- →STATS: Cade Cunningham averages only 0.8 blocks per game this season, but recent performance shows he has tallied 0 blocks in 2 of his last 5 games, indicating inconsistency in achieving blocking stats.
- →MATCHUP: The San Antonio Spurs have been shooting well recently with a high field goal percentage, which could limit Cunningham's opportunities to register blocks against a team that is also ranked highly in field goal efficiency.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the expected high-scoring environment of 232.5 total points, it is more likely that the pace of the game will lead to less emphasis on defense, resulting in fewer opportunities for Cunningham to record blocks.
- →TREND: In his most recent matchup against the Spurs, Cunningham registered 0 blocks, showcasing a trend of underperformance in that specific statistical category against this opponent.
- →SITUATIONAL: With a strong offensive focus from both teams and the current spread favoring the Pistons by only 1.5 points, it suggests a close game which may lead to more minutes for Cunningham but less defensive focus overall, reducing block opportunities.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 75%
Evidence
- →STATS: Cade Cunningham's blocks per game this season are at 0.8, which is above the threshold needed to exceed 0.5 blocks.
- →MATCHUP: The San Antonio Spurs allow a higher number of blocks per game, giving Cunningham an opportunity to capitalize on this favorable matchup.
- →NARRATIVE: With the game total set at 232.5, the likelihood of a high-paced game will lead to more shot attempts and defensive plays, increasing Cunningham's chances of blocking a shot.
- →TREND: In his last five games, Cunningham recorded blocks in three instances, showcasing a positive trend as he is effectively contributing defensively.
- →SITUATIONAL: The close spread of -1.5 indicates that both teams will likely be competitive throughout the game, which means Cunningham will be on the court for extended minutes, increasing his chances to exceed 0.5 blocks.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
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