Back to San Antonio Spurs @ Detroit Pistons

Devin Vassell Over 3.5 assists alternate

🚀 Asymmetric Shot

+540↓451%|+694

player assists alternate

Devin Vassell Over 3.5 assists alternate

🚀 Asymmetric Shot

+540↓451%|+694

player assists alternate

58.40

Composite Score

+24.3%

Net EV

50.00

Narrative Fit

77.50

Market Divergence

🧪 SAL's Synthesis

Given the high-paced context of the Spurs vs. Pistons game and the elevated total of 232.5, we can expect plenty of offensive opportunities, which is conducive to assist production. Vassell's recent average of 3.2 assists aligns with his positive trend in playmaking, especially with no reported injuries affecting the Spurs' offensive flow. The Net EV of 0.24 confirms that this line is underpriced given the favorable conditions for Vassell to exceed his assist total.

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 65%

Evidence

→STATS: Devin Vassell has been averaging 3.2 assists over the last five games, comfortably exceeding the 1.5 assists threshold.
→MATCHUP: The Spurs are playing the Pistons, a team with an overall fast pace and high scoring average which leads to more possessions and potential assists.
→NARRATIVE: Given the high total of 232.5 for this game, we can expect a fast-paced matchup where both teams have strong offensive schemes, increasing Vassell's opportunities to assist.
→TREND: Vassell has recorded more than 1.5 assists in each of his last five games on average, showcasing a positive trend in his playmaking.
→SITUATIONAL: The Spurs are on an 8-game winning streak and have no reported injuries, indicating good team chemistry and momentum, which often results in increased ball movement and assist opportunities.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

Sources: url1, url2

🔴 Anti Agent Case

Conf: 70%

Evidence

→STATS: Despite averaging 3.2 assists over his last five games, Vassell has shown inconsistencies, having only managed one assist in two of those games, which raises doubts about him exceeding 1.5 assists in this matchup.
→MATCHUP: The opposing Detroit Pistons have been solid defensively, typically limiting the opposing team's assist totals, which could hinder Vassell's ability to create opportunities for teammates.
→NARRATIVE: With both teams tightly matched, as indicated by the close spread of 1.5, the game script may become more centered around scoring, which could reduce assist opportunities for Vassell as he might focus more on his own scoring.
→TREND: Vassell’s performance has fluctuated in recent games, and his assists have dipped below 2 in numerous crucial matchups, indicating a trend towards underperformance rather than consistency.
→SITUATIONAL: The Spurs are on an 8-game win streak, which might lead to a more cautious approach, possibly reducing Vassell's passing responsibilities if they maintain a lead, further diminishing his chances of exceeding 1.5 assists.

Thesis: strong

Market: strongly disagree

Sources: url1, url2

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 65%

Evidence

→STATS: Devin Vassell has been averaging 3.2 assists over the last five games, comfortably exceeding the 1.5 assists threshold.
→MATCHUP: The Spurs are playing the Pistons, a team with an overall fast pace and high scoring average which leads to more possessions and potential assists.
→NARRATIVE: Given the high total of 232.5 for this game, we can expect a fast-paced matchup where both teams have strong offensive schemes, increasing Vassell's opportunities to assist.
→TREND: Vassell has recorded more than 1.5 assists in each of his last five games on average, showcasing a positive trend in his playmaking.
→SITUATIONAL: The Spurs are on an 8-game winning streak and have no reported injuries, indicating good team chemistry and momentum, which often results in increased ball movement and assist opportunities.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

Sources: url1, url2

+600+68.6% EV

De'Aaron Fox Over 12.5 assists alternate💤

+2400+66.9% EV

Cade Cunningham Over 17.5 assists alternate💤

+2600+44.0% EV

Devin Vassell Over 4.5 rebounds alternate💤

+300+40.6% EV

Stephon Castle Over 12.5 assists alternate💤

+2600+40.5% EV