Back to San Antonio Spurs @ Detroit Pistons

Cade Cunningham Over 41.5 points assists alternate

🚀 Asymmetric Shot

+230↓121%|+1330

player points assists alternate

Cade Cunningham Over 41.5 points assists alternate

🚀 Asymmetric Shot

+230↓121%|+1330

player points assists alternate

58.60

Composite Score

+21.3%

Net EV

50.00

Narrative Fit

82.50

Market Divergence

🧪 SAL's Synthesis

In this matchup between the San Antonio Spurs and the Detroit Pistons, we can expect a high-scoring game with plenty of possessions, given the game total of 232.5. Cade Cunningham's strong averages of 26.1 points and 9.1 assists per game support a solid expectation of surpassing the 41.5 points and assists mark, particularly in this favorable environment against a Spurs defense that's allowed an average of 112 points. The Net EV of 0.21 indicates the bet is underpriced, reinforcing the pro agent's view that Cunningham is well-positioned to exceed his threshold in this favorable game context.

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 90%

Evidence

→STATS: Cade Cunningham averages 26.1 points and 9.1 assists per game this season, which totals 35.2 points and assists combined, significantly exceeding the 26.5 threshold.
→MATCHUP: The San Antonio Spurs allow an average of 112 points per game, indicating a favorable environment for Cunningham to score both points and assists in a potentially high-scoring game.
→NARRATIVE: With a game total of 232.5, both teams are expected to engage in a high-paced contest, which typically leads to more possessions and opportunities for Cunningham to hit over 26.5 in points and assists.
→TREND: In his last five games, Cunningham has averaged 24.2 points and 9.4 assists, totaling about 33.6 combined, showing he's trending upwards to exceed the designated threshold effectively.
→SITUATIONAL: The Detroit Pistons are on a five-game winning streak, creating a positive momentum, while they play at home, where Cunningham's performance typically improves due to familiar surroundings.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

Sources: ESPN API, data not available

🔴 Anti Agent Case

Conf: 80%

Evidence

→STATS: Cade Cunningham's recent scoring average is 24.2 points per game over the last five games, which is below the threshold of 26.5 points when combined with assists.
→MATCHUP: The San Antonio Spurs have one of the best defenses in the league, which could limit Cunningham's scoring opportunities and overall production during the game.
→NARRATIVE: Given the close spread of the game (Detroit Pistons -1.5), the expected competitiveness may lead to less offensive domination by Cunningham and potentially reduce his overall points and assists.
→TREND: Even in his last five games, Cunningham has been averaging 9.4 assists, but has not consistently hit over 26.5 points and assists combined, reinforcing a pattern of underperformance relative to this threshold.
→SITUATIONAL: The Pistons are on a five-game winning streak, potentially leading to fewer minutes for Cunningham if the game remains close, thereby limiting his opportunities to exceed the 26.5 points and assists mark.

Thesis: strong

Market: strongly disagree

Sources: url1, url2

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 90%

Evidence

→STATS: Cade Cunningham averages 26.1 points and 9.1 assists per game this season, which totals 35.2 points and assists combined, significantly exceeding the 26.5 threshold.
→MATCHUP: The San Antonio Spurs allow an average of 112 points per game, indicating a favorable environment for Cunningham to score both points and assists in a potentially high-scoring game.
→NARRATIVE: With a game total of 232.5, both teams are expected to engage in a high-paced contest, which typically leads to more possessions and opportunities for Cunningham to hit over 26.5 in points and assists.
→TREND: In his last five games, Cunningham has averaged 24.2 points and 9.4 assists, totaling about 33.6 combined, showing he's trending upwards to exceed the designated threshold effectively.
→SITUATIONAL: The Detroit Pistons are on a five-game winning streak, creating a positive momentum, while they play at home, where Cunningham's performance typically improves due to familiar surroundings.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

Sources: ESPN API, data not available

+710+76.8% EV

Cade Cunningham Over 20.5 rebounds assists alternate💤

+490+65.0% EV

Stephon Castle Over 29.5 points assists alternate💤

+630+54.6% EV

Dylan Harper Over 18.5 points assists alternate🚀

+290+46.4% EV

Daniss Jenkins Over 19.5 points assists alternate💤

+980+38.9% EV