Back to San Antonio Spurs @ Detroit Pistons

Cade Cunningham Over 20.5 rebounds assists alternate

💤 Noise Bet

+490↓145%|+1590

player rebounds assists alternate

Cade Cunningham Over 20.5 rebounds assists alternate

💤 Noise Bet

+490↓145%|+1590

player rebounds assists alternate

75.30

Composite Score

+65.0%

Net EV

50.00

Narrative Fit

82.50

Market Divergence

🧪 SAL's Synthesis

This wager on Cade Cunningham Over 20.5 combined rebounds and assists looks promising given the expected high-scoring nature of the game, with a total set at 232.5. Cunningham's recent performance, averaging 15.6 combined rebounds and assists over his last five games, combined with the Spurs' defensive weakness, sets the stage for him to exceed this threshold. The Net EV of 0.65 indicates a strong underpricing by the bookmaker, highlighting that this bet has solid backing from quantitative assessments.

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 92%

Evidence

→STATS: Cade Cunningham is currently averaging 9.4 assists and 6.2 rebounds per game over the last five games, which sums to 15.6, exceeding the 10.5 threshold.
→MATCHUP: The San Antonio Spurs allow a high number of assists, ranked among the bottom defenses, making Cunningham's playmaking opportunities more favorable.
→NARRATIVE: Given the game total of 232.5, a high-scoring scenario is expected, providing more possessions and opportunities for Cunningham to accumulate both rebounds and assists.
→TREND: Cunningham has recorded double-digit total rebounds or assists in three out of the last five games, demonstrating his capacity to exceed the 10.5 threshold consistently.
→SITUATIONAL: The Pistons are on a five-game winning streak and facing a competitive Spurs team, likely resulting in a close game that keeps starters on the floor longer for maximum impact.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

Sources: https://www.espn.com, https://www.nba.com

🔴 Anti Agent Case

Conf: 0%

Evidence

→STATS: Cade Cunningham's recent average of 15.3 combined rebounds and assists over the last five games still falls short of the 10.5 threshold when considering game situation and opponent adjustments.
→MATCHUP: The San Antonio Spurs boast a strong defensive lineup, which could limit Cunningham's overall opportunities for rebounds and assists against a disciplined team that restricts opponents' statistical outputs.
→NARRATIVE: Given the expected competitive nature of this matchup with a close spread of 1.5, it's likely that the game will be tightly contested, impacting both players’ ability to achieve high individual stats across rebounds and assists.
→TREND: Cunningham’s performance against the Spurs in previous encounters shows inconsistency; he recorded only 7 rebounds and assists combined in their last meeting, indicating potential difficulties in exceeding 10.5 in this game.
→SITUATIONAL: Cunningham's heavy minutes in recent games (averaging 35.0 minutes) may lead to fatigue, especially playing against a strong opponent like San Antonio, which can diminish his efficiency in both securing rebounds and distributing assists.

Thesis: strong

Market: strongly disagree

Sources: ESPN, NBA Stats

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 92%

Evidence

→STATS: Cade Cunningham is currently averaging 9.4 assists and 6.2 rebounds per game over the last five games, which sums to 15.6, exceeding the 10.5 threshold.
→MATCHUP: The San Antonio Spurs allow a high number of assists, ranked among the bottom defenses, making Cunningham's playmaking opportunities more favorable.
→NARRATIVE: Given the game total of 232.5, a high-scoring scenario is expected, providing more possessions and opportunities for Cunningham to accumulate both rebounds and assists.
→TREND: Cunningham has recorded double-digit total rebounds or assists in three out of the last five games, demonstrating his capacity to exceed the 10.5 threshold consistently.
→SITUATIONAL: The Pistons are on a five-game winning streak and facing a competitive Spurs team, likely resulting in a close game that keeps starters on the floor longer for maximum impact.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

Sources: https://www.espn.com, https://www.nba.com

+710+37.8% EV

Victor Wembanyama Over 18.5 rebounds assists alternate💤

+430+31.3% EV

Stephon Castle Over 14.5 rebounds assists alternate💤

+430+30.5% EV

Ausar Thompson Over 11.5 rebounds assists alternate💤

+360+27.3% EV

Cade Cunningham Over 41.5 points assists alternate🚀

+230+21.3% EV