While Keldon Johnson has shown strong recent form, the matchup against the Detroit Pistons suggests a more defensive and competitive game script than anticipated. Factors such as the Pistons' defensive strength and the expected competitive nature of the game—with a close spread—indicate that Johnson may not have ample opportunities to exceed his three-point total. Given the balanced Net EV of 0.42, which does not heavily lean in favor of the bet, it’s wise to pass instead of committing to an uncertain outcome.