SAL 9000
SAL 9000
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Isaiah Hartenstein triple double

💤 Noise Bet
+2200— stable
player triple double

Isaiah Hartenstein triple double

💤 Noise Bet
+2200— stable
player triple double
31.20
Composite Score
+0.7%
Net EV
20.00
Narrative Fit
2.00
Market Divergence

🧪 SAL's Synthesis

The overall narrative suggests that this game will likely feature a competitive script, but Isaiah Hartenstein's chances of achieving a triple-double are significantly diminished due to his low assist average and the potential for limited minutes in a blowout scenario. The Net EV of 0.01 indicates a marginal edge, but the stronger anti case highlighting his performance issues and the Thunder's defensive prowess makes this wager less appealing. Betting on Hartenstein to achieve a triple-double does not align well with the anticipated game dynamics, and thus it is prudent to pass on this bet.

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 5%

Evidence

  • →STATS: Isaiah Hartenstein has averaged 10.7 rebounds and 3.8 assists this season, which indicates he is capable of contributing heavily across multiple categories necessary for a triple-double.
  • →MATCHUP: Hartenstein previously recorded 12 rebounds and 1 assist in a game against the Oklahoma City Thunder, showing he can perform well against this opponent in terms of rebounding and playmaking.
  • →NARRATIVE: With Oklahoma City Thunder favored by 8.5 points, if they maintain control of the game, there may be more minutes for Hartenstein to rack up stats in a competitive environment where he is needed to match up against their strong offense.
  • →TREND: Hartenstein’s recent performance shows an upward trend in minutes played, with an average of 23.2 minutes over the last five games, which increases his chances to accumulate the necessary totals.
  • →SITUATIONAL: The game total is set at 232.5, indicating a high-scoring affair is expected, leading to more possessions overall and providing Hartenstein more opportunities to contribute statistically.
Thesis: weak
Market: strongly disagree

🔴 Anti Agent Case

Conf: 95%

Evidence

  • →STATS: Isaiah Hartenstein has season averages of only 3.8 assists, which is significantly below the threshold needed for a triple-double (10+ in three categories). His recent performance shows even lower averages with just 1.6 assists in the last 5 games.
  • →MATCHUP: Facing the Oklahoma City Thunder, who rank highly in defense, Hartenstein's chances to accumulate points, assists, and rebounds are diminished, making a triple-double unlikely.
  • →NARRATIVE: With the Thunder favored by 8.5 points, there's a high possibility of a blowout. If Hartenstein's team falls behind, he may see reduced minutes, limiting his opportunity to reach a triple-double.
  • →TREND: Hartenstein's recent stats indicate a downward trend, averaging only 7.6 points and 1.6 assists in his last five games, suggesting he is not currently in form to achieve a triple-double.
  • →SITUATIONAL: Given that Hartenstein is averaging only 23.2 minutes per game recently, less playing time severely impacts his chances of accumulating the necessary stats for a triple-double.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: ESPN API, Feature Factory

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 5%

Evidence

  • →STATS: Isaiah Hartenstein has averaged 10.7 rebounds and 3.8 assists this season, which indicates he is capable of contributing heavily across multiple categories necessary for a triple-double.
  • →MATCHUP: Hartenstein previously recorded 12 rebounds and 1 assist in a game against the Oklahoma City Thunder, showing he can perform well against this opponent in terms of rebounding and playmaking.
  • →NARRATIVE: With Oklahoma City Thunder favored by 8.5 points, if they maintain control of the game, there may be more minutes for Hartenstein to rack up stats in a competitive environment where he is needed to match up against their strong offense.
  • →TREND: Hartenstein’s recent performance shows an upward trend in minutes played, with an average of 23.2 minutes over the last five games, which increases his chances to accumulate the necessary totals.
  • →SITUATIONAL: The game total is set at 232.5, indicating a high-scoring affair is expected, leading to more possessions overall and providing Hartenstein more opportunities to contribute statistically.
Thesis: weak
Market: strongly disagree

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