Back to Denver Nuggets @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Isaiah Hartenstein double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+332↓8%|+26
player double double
Isaiah Hartenstein double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+332↓8%|+26
player double double
38.30
Composite Score
+3.7%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
15.10
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
The narrative suggests a high-paced game where Hartenstein could technically have opportunities to accumulate stats; however, the opposing team's defensive efficiency and Hartenstein's recent performance indicate he may struggle to reach the necessary thresholds for a double-double. With a Net EV of only 0.04, the mathematical edge is minimal, and the risks presented by the opposing analysis make this a bet to avoid rather than to pursue.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 35%
Evidence
- →STATS: Isaiah Hartenstein is averaging 10.7 rebounds per game, demonstrating his ability to contribute significantly in the rebounding category, which is crucial for achieving a double-double.
- →MATCHUP: Hartenstein has previously recorded a double-double against the Oklahoma City Thunder, posting 12 rebounds in their last matchup, indicating he can exploit favorable matchups against their frontcourt.
- →NARRATIVE: The high total of 233.5 suggests a fast-paced, high-scoring game which would lead to more possessions, increasing the chances for Hartenstein to accumulate both points and rebounds.
- →TREND: Recently, Hartenstein has increased his performance, averaging 10 rebounds and 7.6 points over the last five games, trending upwards toward achieving double figures in both categories.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Nuggets are facing the top team in the league, and with their current standing, Hartenstein will likely see increased minutes to match the Thunder's intensity, especially after their streaky recent performance.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: https://www.espn.com, https://www.basketball-reference.com
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 80%
Evidence
- →STATS: Isaiah Hartenstein's recent averages of 7.6 points and 8.4 rebounds per game indicate he is below the threshold needed for a double-double, which requires at least 10 points and 10 rebounds.
- →MATCHUP: Facing the Oklahoma City Thunder, a team that has a strong overall record and defensive efficiency, Hartenstein may struggle to generate sufficient points and boards against their robust frontline.
- →NARRATIVE: With the Denver Nuggets being underdogs, it's plausible that they will fall behind significantly, leading to reduced playing time for Hartenstein as the team likely turns to more perimeter-oriented strategies to catch up.
- →TREND: In his last five games, Hartenstein has not reached double-digit points in four out of those games, showcasing a concerning trend of offensive underperformance as he only surpassed 10 points once.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Thunder are heavy favorites in this matchup, indicated by the large 8-point spread. This raises the risk of a blowout, which could result in Hartenstein receiving limited minutes if he is pulled early due to the game outcome.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 35%
Evidence
- →STATS: Isaiah Hartenstein is averaging 10.7 rebounds per game, demonstrating his ability to contribute significantly in the rebounding category, which is crucial for achieving a double-double.
- →MATCHUP: Hartenstein has previously recorded a double-double against the Oklahoma City Thunder, posting 12 rebounds in their last matchup, indicating he can exploit favorable matchups against their frontcourt.
- →NARRATIVE: The high total of 233.5 suggests a fast-paced, high-scoring game which would lead to more possessions, increasing the chances for Hartenstein to accumulate both points and rebounds.
- →TREND: Recently, Hartenstein has increased his performance, averaging 10 rebounds and 7.6 points over the last five games, trending upwards toward achieving double figures in both categories.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Nuggets are facing the top team in the league, and with their current standing, Hartenstein will likely see increased minutes to match the Thunder's intensity, especially after their streaky recent performance.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: https://www.espn.com, https://www.basketball-reference.com
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