Back to Memphis Grizzlies @ Dallas Mavericks
G.G. Jackson Under 18.5 points assists
💤 Noise Bet
-115— stable
player points assists
G.G. Jackson Under 18.5 points assists
💤 Noise Bet
-115— stable
player points assists
29.30
Composite Score
+6.8%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
27.30
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
The recommendation to pass on G.G. Jackson Under 18.5 points and assists is based on conflicting factors from both agents. While the pro agent highlights Jackson's underwhelming performance and potential limited court time due to playoff positioning, the anti agent points to an uptick in minutes and the high-scoring nature of the game, which could provide him more opportunities to exceed the threshold. With a Net EV of 0.07 indicating only slight edge, the overall environment suggests uncertainty, leading to the decision to avoid this wager.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 45%
Evidence
- →STATS: G.G. Jackson's recent stats show he averages only 8.4 points and 1.0 assists over the last 5 games, totaling 9.4 points and assists, well below the 18.5 threshold.
- →MATCHUP: Facing the Dallas Mavericks, Jackson may struggle as they have a relatively strong defensive unit, which could limit his scoring and playmaking opportunities.
- →NARRATIVE: With both teams in low playoff positioning, the game could turn into a non-consequential affair where star players, including Jackson, might not see significant playing time, impacting his ability to exceed 18.5 combined points and assists.
- →TREND: Jackson has clearly underperformed this season, with an average of 7.2 points and 1.0 assists per game, highlighting his inability to reach the required total consistently.
- →SITUATIONAL: Jackson's relatively low minute average of 15.8 minutes per game could be further impacted by either a blowout scenario or coaching decisions regarding player rotation, making it difficult for him to amass enough points and assists.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 20%
Evidence
- →STATS: G.G. Jackson has averaged 8.4 points per game over his last 5 games and is seeing increased minutes at 21.8 per game, suggesting greater opportunities for scoring and potential assists.
- →MATCHUP: The Dallas Mavericks are currently allowing a higher pace of play, which can lead to more scoring opportunities for G.G. Jackson and help him surpass 18.5 total points and assists.
- →NARRATIVE: With a total set at 238.5, the game is expected to be high-scoring, providing an environment conducive for Jackson to rack up points and assists above the threshold.
- →TREND: In a recent matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies, G.G. Jackson recorded 5 rebounds and scored 8 points, which illustrates his potential for contributing to the stat totals needed to exceed 18.5 points and assists.
- →SITUATIONAL: Both teams have been struggling this season, which can lead to closer games, hence keeping starters like Jackson on the court longer, allowing him more chances to score and assist.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: url1, url2
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 45%
Evidence
- →STATS: G.G. Jackson's recent stats show he averages only 8.4 points and 1.0 assists over the last 5 games, totaling 9.4 points and assists, well below the 18.5 threshold.
- →MATCHUP: Facing the Dallas Mavericks, Jackson may struggle as they have a relatively strong defensive unit, which could limit his scoring and playmaking opportunities.
- →NARRATIVE: With both teams in low playoff positioning, the game could turn into a non-consequential affair where star players, including Jackson, might not see significant playing time, impacting his ability to exceed 18.5 combined points and assists.
- →TREND: Jackson has clearly underperformed this season, with an average of 7.2 points and 1.0 assists per game, highlighting his inability to reach the required total consistently.
- →SITUATIONAL: Jackson's relatively low minute average of 15.8 minutes per game could be further impacted by either a blowout scenario or coaching decisions regarding player rotation, making it difficult for him to amass enough points and assists.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
Full Analysis Available to Members
Request access to SAL 9000 to unlock full analysis for every game, plus the Parlay Builder, Portfolio Optimizer, and more.
Free to request — limited seats available