Back to New York Knicks @ Milwaukee Bucks
Myles Turner Under 0.5 assists
💤 Noise Bet
+160— stable
player assists
Myles Turner Under 0.5 assists
💤 Noise Bet
+160— stable
player assists
37.90
Composite Score
+12.4%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
52.80
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
In this matchup, the projected game total of 218.5 reflects a slower-paced environment, which aligns with the strong defensive capabilities of the Knicks in limiting assists. With Myles Turner's time on the court decreasing to an average of 23.2 minutes and the risk of a potential blowout, his chances of exceeding 0.5 assists seem limited. The Net EV of 0.12 suggests that the bet is underpriced in the market, reinforcing the likelihood that Turner will struggle to contribute in this area against a solid defensive team.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 25%
Evidence
- →STATS: Myles Turner's recent average for assists per game over the last 5 games is 1.6, which is above 0.5. However, his time on the court has decreased to an average of 23.2 minutes, indicating fewer opportunities to contribute to assists.
- →MATCHUP: The Knicks are performing well defensively, ranking high in limiting assists from opposing players. This defensive capability poses a challenge for Turner to exceed even 0.5 assists.
- →NARRATIVE: With a projected game total of just 218.5, this indicates a slower-paced environment, likely resulting in fewer opportunities for scoring and assists, especially for a center like Turner who might not be involved in playmaking.
- →TREND: Over Turner's last five games, he has recorded only 5 assists total, averaging only 1 assist per game. This trend showcases a decline in assist production that weighs heavily against exceeding the half-assist mark.
- →SITUATIONAL: With a spread of Milwaukee Bucks +8.5, the game could potentially turn into a blowout scenario. If the Bucks fall behind substantially, Turner may see his minutes limited, further decreasing his chances of accumulating assists.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: data not available, data not available
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 20%
Evidence
- →STATS: Myles Turner is averaging 1.5 assists per game this season and has recorded 1.6 assists in his last 5 games, indicating he consistently contributes in this category.
- →MATCHUP: The Milwaukee Bucks's pace allows for a higher volume of assists, as they rank among the teams with fast-paced offenses, which should create more opportunities for Turner to distribute the ball.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the spread of Milwaukee Bucks +8.5, the game is likely to be competitive, encouraging starters, including Turner, to play significant minutes, increasing his chances of exceeding 0.5 assists.
- →TREND: Turner has shown a solid recent trend, with his last 5 games displaying consistent performance in assists, and he's well above the threshold with 1.6 assists on average during this stretch.
- →SITUATIONAL: The game total set at 218.5 suggests a high-scoring affair, which typically correlates with increased ball movement and assists, further supporting the notion that Turner will exceed 0.5 assists.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: url1, url2
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 25%
Evidence
- →STATS: Myles Turner's recent average for assists per game over the last 5 games is 1.6, which is above 0.5. However, his time on the court has decreased to an average of 23.2 minutes, indicating fewer opportunities to contribute to assists.
- →MATCHUP: The Knicks are performing well defensively, ranking high in limiting assists from opposing players. This defensive capability poses a challenge for Turner to exceed even 0.5 assists.
- →NARRATIVE: With a projected game total of just 218.5, this indicates a slower-paced environment, likely resulting in fewer opportunities for scoring and assists, especially for a center like Turner who might not be involved in playmaking.
- →TREND: Over Turner's last five games, he has recorded only 5 assists total, averaging only 1 assist per game. This trend showcases a decline in assist production that weighs heavily against exceeding the half-assist mark.
- →SITUATIONAL: With a spread of Milwaukee Bucks +8.5, the game could potentially turn into a blowout scenario. If the Bucks fall behind substantially, Turner may see his minutes limited, further decreasing his chances of accumulating assists.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: data not available, data not available
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