Back to Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons
Evan Mobley Over 1.5 blocks
💤 Noise Bet
+120↓9%|+10
player blocks
Evan Mobley Over 1.5 blocks
💤 Noise Bet
+120↓9%|+10
player blocks
30.60
Composite Score
+8.2%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
30.80
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
Given the high total of 227.5 in the game and the fast-paced nature expected between the Cavaliers and Pistons, Mobley is positioned to face a higher volume of shot attempts, increasing his opportunities to record blocks. The fact that Mobley has averaged 2.0 blocks over his last five games while the Pistons allow significant shots near the rim strongly supports the hypothesis that he can exceed the 1.5 blocks mark. The Net EV score of 0.08 reinforces the belief that this bet is underpriced by the market, making it a favorable wager.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 70%
Evidence
- →STATS: Evan Mobley is averaging 2.0 blocks per game over his last five outings, significantly above the 1.5 threshold.
- →MATCHUP: The Detroit Pistons allow a high volume of shots near the rim, which provides Mobley with ample opportunities to block shots as a primary rim protector.
- →NARRATIVE: Given a high total of 227.5 in this game, we can expect a fast-paced contest, which typically leads to more shot attempts and consequently more block opportunities.
- →TREND: Mobley has recorded at least 2 blocks in 3 out of his last 5 games, indicating a consistent trend of performing above the required threshold.
- →SITUATIONAL: Mobley has been averaging nearly 33.2 minutes per game recently, ensuring he will have ample playing time to accumulate blocks, especially against a competitive opponent like the Pistons.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: url1, url2
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 65%
Evidence
- →STATS: Despite averaging 1.6 blocks per game this season, Mobley recorded only 0 blocks in his last game against the Washington Wizards, which raises concerns about his consistency in exceeding 1.5 blocks.
- →MATCHUP: The Detroit Pistons are currently scoring efficiently and have a high FG percentage, making it less likely that Mobley will have the opportunities to register blocks against such an offensive team.
- →NARRATIVE: With the game spread favoring the Pistons, it suggests a potential scenario where the Cavaliers may struggle, leading to fewer defensive opportunities for Mobley and reducing his chances of exceeding 1.5 blocks.
- →TREND: In his last five games, Mobley only exceeded 1.5 blocks in two out of five games, indicating that he has recently struggled to accumulate blocks consistently.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Cavaliers are coming off a loss and may need to focus more on securing perimeter defense instead of relying on blocks, which could further limit Mobley's opportunities to exceed the 1.5 blocks mark.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 70%
Evidence
- →STATS: Evan Mobley is averaging 2.0 blocks per game over his last five outings, significantly above the 1.5 threshold.
- →MATCHUP: The Detroit Pistons allow a high volume of shots near the rim, which provides Mobley with ample opportunities to block shots as a primary rim protector.
- →NARRATIVE: Given a high total of 227.5 in this game, we can expect a fast-paced contest, which typically leads to more shot attempts and consequently more block opportunities.
- →TREND: Mobley has recorded at least 2 blocks in 3 out of his last 5 games, indicating a consistent trend of performing above the required threshold.
- →SITUATIONAL: Mobley has been averaging nearly 33.2 minutes per game recently, ensuring he will have ample playing time to accumulate blocks, especially against a competitive opponent like the Pistons.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: url1, url2
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