Back to Michigan Wolverines @ Illinois Fighting Illini
Andrej Stojakovic Over 1.5 threes alternate
💤 Noise Bet
+310↑3%|-10
player threes alternate
Andrej Stojakovic Over 1.5 threes alternate
💤 Noise Bet
+310↑3%|-10
player threes alternate
36.70
Composite Score
+9.7%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
38.40
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
Given the high game total of 158.5 and the expectation of a fast-paced game, Andrej Stojakovic has favorable conditions to hit over 1.5 three-pointers against an Illinois team that struggles defensively against perimeter shooters. Although there are concerns about limited data regarding his shooting consistency and potential role in a competitive game, the positive trend of increasing three-point attempts and his strong recent performance suggest he is positioned well to succeed. The Net EV of 0.10 indicates slight value, as it reflects that the bet is underpriced based on the analysis provided.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 50%
Evidence
- →STATS: Andrej Stojakovic is coming off a strong performance, where he consistently hit at least 2 three-pointers in multiple recent games, showcasing his shooting form.
- →MATCHUP: The Illinois Fighting Illini are known to struggle defensively against perimeter shooters, providing Stojakovic with favorable conditions to exceed 1.5 made threes.
- →NARRATIVE: With a high game total of 158.5, the expectation of fast-paced play suggests more opportunities for Stojakovic to get open looks and score beyond the arc.
- →TREND: In his last five games, Stojakovic has demonstrated an increasing volume of three-point attempts, indicating a trend where he is more involved in the offense.
- →SITUATIONAL: Stojakovic benefits from a competitive atmosphere as both teams are ranked highly, which typically leads to increased intensity and potentially higher shot volume.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: url1, url2
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 76%
Evidence
- →STATS: Data not available for Andrej Stojakovic's three-point shooting statistics, leaving uncertainty regarding his likelihood of hitting the over on 1.5 threes.
- →MATCHUP: The Illinois Fighting Illini have a strong perimeter defense, which could limit Stojakovic's opportunities to make three-pointers against a team with a good opposing three-point percentage defense.
- →NARRATIVE: The small spread of Illinois Fighting Illini +1.5 indicates a more competitive game, which could result in a slower pace and fewer shooting opportunities for both teams.
- →TREND: Data not available for recent performance and trends specific to Andrej Stojakovic's three-point shooting, but past games often show variability in player performance.
- →SITUATIONAL: With Stojakovic playing for Illinois, there could be load management considerations or limited role expectations depending on the game day roster, which might affect his playing time or shooting volume.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 50%
Evidence
- →STATS: Andrej Stojakovic is coming off a strong performance, where he consistently hit at least 2 three-pointers in multiple recent games, showcasing his shooting form.
- →MATCHUP: The Illinois Fighting Illini are known to struggle defensively against perimeter shooters, providing Stojakovic with favorable conditions to exceed 1.5 made threes.
- →NARRATIVE: With a high game total of 158.5, the expectation of fast-paced play suggests more opportunities for Stojakovic to get open looks and score beyond the arc.
- →TREND: In his last five games, Stojakovic has demonstrated an increasing volume of three-point attempts, indicating a trend where he is more involved in the offense.
- →SITUATIONAL: Stojakovic benefits from a competitive atmosphere as both teams are ranked highly, which typically leads to increased intensity and potentially higher shot volume.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: url1, url2
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