Back to Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets
Tari Eason Over 20.5 points assists alternate
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+250↓128%|+1150
player points assists alternate
Tari Eason Over 20.5 points assists alternate
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+250↓128%|+1150
player points assists alternate
58.10
Composite Score
+18.2%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
85.00
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
In this matchup, we can expect a high-scoring affair given the Rockets' heavy favorite status and the game's total at 228.5, leading to ample offensive opportunities for Tari Eason. His recent upward trend in minutes and points, despite limited assists, positions him well to exceed the 20.5 line when combining points and assists. The Net EV of 0.18 demonstrates a favorable edge, indicating the bookmakers may have underestimated Eason's contributions amidst a fast-paced game script.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 90%
Evidence
- →STATS: Tari Eason has averaged 1.8 assists over the last five games, showing a positive trend as he approaches the threshold of 9.5 when combined with his scoring.
- →MATCHUP: The Houston Rockets are favored heavily at -13.5, suggesting that they will have plenty of offensive opportunities to increase Eason's scoring and assist totals.
- →NARRATIVE: With a high game total of 228.5, this match is expected to be high-scoring, allowing more possessions and thus more chances for Eason to contribute points and assists.
- →TREND: Over the last five games, Eason has seen an increase in both minutes and overall production, hitting an average of 13.4 points per game, indicating that he is in a productive phase.
- →SITUATIONAL: Eason has benefitted from favorable minutes due to the Rockets’ recent schedule, which likely means he will see significant minutes as they look to bounce back after a recent loss.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: ESPN, NBA Stats
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 90%
Evidence
- →STATS: Tari Eason's assists average is only 1.8 in his last 5 games, which is significantly below the 9.5 points/assists threshold, making it unlikely he will exceed that mark.
- →MATCHUP: The Houston Rockets are favored heavily by 13.5 points, indicating a potential for a blowout, which could lead to limited playing time for Eason in the second half, reducing his chances to score and assist.
- →NARRATIVE: With the game expected to be a one-sided affair, the game script may lead Eason to have fewer opportunities to handle the ball and create plays, aligning against him exceeding 9.5 points/assists.
- →TREND: Eason has not been consistent in contributing assists, averaging just 1.5 assists per game over the entire season, which indicates that reaching double digits in combined points and assists will be a challenge.
- →SITUATIONAL: Eason's average of 24.9 minutes per game limits his overall opportunity for contributing to points and assists, and in a context where his role might diminish against a strong opponent, reaching the threshold appears less plausible.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: https://www.espn.com, https://www.basketball-reference.com
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 90%
Evidence
- →STATS: Tari Eason has averaged 1.8 assists over the last five games, showing a positive trend as he approaches the threshold of 9.5 when combined with his scoring.
- →MATCHUP: The Houston Rockets are favored heavily at -13.5, suggesting that they will have plenty of offensive opportunities to increase Eason's scoring and assist totals.
- →NARRATIVE: With a high game total of 228.5, this match is expected to be high-scoring, allowing more possessions and thus more chances for Eason to contribute points and assists.
- →TREND: Over the last five games, Eason has seen an increase in both minutes and overall production, hitting an average of 13.4 points per game, indicating that he is in a productive phase.
- →SITUATIONAL: Eason has benefitted from favorable minutes due to the Rockets’ recent schedule, which likely means he will see significant minutes as they look to bounce back after a recent loss.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: ESPN, NBA Stats
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