Back to Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets
Keyonte George Over 29.5 points assists alternate
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+482↓119%|+3082
player points assists alternate
Keyonte George Over 29.5 points assists alternate
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+482↓119%|+3082
player points assists alternate
63.70
Composite Score
+32.0%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
87.50
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
The game script suggests a high-paced matchup where the Utah Jazz will be under pressure to score, particularly with the spread favoring the Houston Rockets heavily at -13.5. Keyonte George’s strong recent scoring stats and the favorable matchup against a struggling Jazz defense create an environment where he can exceed the 29.5 points and assists line. The Net EV score of 0.32 indicates that this bet is underpriced by the bookmaker, reinforcing the expectation that George can successfully meet the over given his current form and the anticipated game flow.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 95%
Evidence
- →STATS: Keyonte George is currently averaging 6.2 assists per game over his last five games, comfortably above the 9.5 points/assists threshold when considering his scoring as well.
- →MATCHUP: The Utah Jazz have struggled defensively this season, which will likely give George opportunities for both scoring and assisting against a weaker defense.
- →NARRATIVE: With the game total set at 228.5 and the large spread of Houston Rockets -13.5, the script favors a high-paced game with potential garbage time stats for George as he may play extended minutes.
- →TREND: George has recently scored an impressive 26.2 points per game over the last five games, showcasing his ability to both score and distribute effectively.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Utah Jazz are on a two-game losing streak, putting additional pressure on players like George to step up and contribute significantly to avoid further losses, especially against a playoff-contending team.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 90%
Evidence
- →STATS: Keyonte George has averaged only 6.2 assists per game over the last five games, which is significantly below the 9.5 threshold he needs in this contest.
- →MATCHUP: The Utah Jazz are facing a strong Houston Rockets team, which may limit George's chances to create scoring opportunities if the game becomes a blowout due to the Rockets' 13.5 point spread.
- →NARRATIVE: With the Rockets favored heavily, they are likely to control the pace of the game, putting pressure on George to produce assists in a scenario where his team could be trailing.
- →TREND: In his last five games, George has not exceeded 9.5 assists in any game, indicating a trend of limited playmaking success against various opponents.
- →SITUATIONAL: Given the outcome of a recent loss streak for the Jazz, with their current record being 18-39, the atmosphere of low team morale could further hinder George's performance in distributing the ball effectively.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 95%
Evidence
- →STATS: Keyonte George is currently averaging 6.2 assists per game over his last five games, comfortably above the 9.5 points/assists threshold when considering his scoring as well.
- →MATCHUP: The Utah Jazz have struggled defensively this season, which will likely give George opportunities for both scoring and assisting against a weaker defense.
- →NARRATIVE: With the game total set at 228.5 and the large spread of Houston Rockets -13.5, the script favors a high-paced game with potential garbage time stats for George as he may play extended minutes.
- →TREND: George has recently scored an impressive 26.2 points per game over the last five games, showcasing his ability to both score and distribute effectively.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Utah Jazz are on a two-game losing streak, putting additional pressure on players like George to step up and contribute significantly to avoid further losses, especially against a playoff-contending team.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
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