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Daniss Jenkins Under 12.5 points rebounds assists

🎯 Core Value Bet

-125— stable

player points rebounds assists

Daniss Jenkins Under 12.5 points rebounds assists

🎯 Core Value Bet

-125— stable

player points rebounds assists

27.00

Composite Score

+1.1%

Net EV

50.00

Narrative Fit

5.30

Market Divergence

🧪 SAL's Synthesis

Given the expected dynamics of the San Antonio Spurs vs. Detroit Pistons game, the bet on Daniss Jenkins Under 12.5 points, rebounds, and assists makes sense, particularly due to Jenkins' limited minutes and historical underperformance. The strong defense of the Pistons and the projected high-scoring total could result in fewer possessions for Jenkins, supporting the likelihood that he will remain under the 12.5 threshold. The Net EV of 0.01 indicates that the market may slightly undervalue this bet given Jenkins’ recent struggles to contribute significant statistics.

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 35%

Evidence

→STATS: Daniss Jenkins averages only 5.4 points, 2.4 assists, and 2.4 rebounds over his last 5 games, totaling 10.2 in points, rebounds, and assists combined, which falls short of the 12.5 threshold.
→MATCHUP: The Detroit Pistons are a strong defensive team, currently standing 1st in the Central Division with a win percentage of 0.763, which suggests they'll effectively limit Jenkins' scoring and assists opportunities.
→NARRATIVE: With a high-scoring total of 232.5, there may be fewer possessions for Jenkins to accumulate stats as the game dynamics may favor the lead players on both teams rather than secondary options like him.
→TREND: Jenkins has not exceeded 12.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists in his last 5 games, indicating a consistent underperformance that is likely to continue.
→SITUATIONAL: Jenkins is receiving limited minutes, averaging only 3.3 minutes per game this season, and may not be in the rotation during crucial stretches of the game, which significantly reduces his chances to accumulate stats.

Thesis: strong

Market: strongly disagree

Sources: url1, url2

🔴 Anti Agent Case

Conf: 15%

Evidence

→STATS: In the last 5 games, Daniss Jenkins has averaged 5.4 points, 2.4 assists, and 2.4 rebounds, leading to a total of 10.2 points, rebounds, and assists combined, which is just shy of the threshold but indicative of potential growth.
→MATCHUP: The San Antonio Spurs and Detroit Pistons game has a total set at 232.5, suggesting a high-scoring environment which is conducive to increased stats across the board, providing Jenkins ample scoring opportunities.
→NARRATIVE: With the game expected to be competitive (spread of -1.5), it is likely that Jenkins will see increased minutes if the game remains close, allowing for more opportunities to contribute to points, rebounds, and assists.
→TREND: In his most recent matchup against the Detroit Pistons, Jenkins recorded 8 rebounds with strong minutes, demonstrating the capability to exceed the thresholds in the right conditions, particularly after averaging 2.4 assists recently.
→SITUATIONAL: The Spurs are on an 8-game winning streak which indicates a strong team momentum, and given their competitive position in the playoffs, individual players including Jenkins are likely to step up and contribute significantly.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

Sources: url1, url2

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 35%

Evidence

→STATS: Daniss Jenkins averages only 5.4 points, 2.4 assists, and 2.4 rebounds over his last 5 games, totaling 10.2 in points, rebounds, and assists combined, which falls short of the 12.5 threshold.
→MATCHUP: The Detroit Pistons are a strong defensive team, currently standing 1st in the Central Division with a win percentage of 0.763, which suggests they'll effectively limit Jenkins' scoring and assists opportunities.
→NARRATIVE: With a high-scoring total of 232.5, there may be fewer possessions for Jenkins to accumulate stats as the game dynamics may favor the lead players on both teams rather than secondary options like him.
→TREND: Jenkins has not exceeded 12.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists in his last 5 games, indicating a consistent underperformance that is likely to continue.
→SITUATIONAL: Jenkins is receiving limited minutes, averaging only 3.3 minutes per game this season, and may not be in the rotation during crucial stretches of the game, which significantly reduces his chances to accumulate stats.

Thesis: strong

Market: strongly disagree

Sources: url1, url2

-118+9.6% EV

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