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Kingston Flemings Over 1.5 threes

💤 Noise Bet

+140— stable

player threes

Kingston Flemings Over 1.5 threes

💤 Noise Bet

+140— stable

player threes

34.30

Composite Score

+0.3%

Net EV

50.00

Narrative Fit

2.10

Market Divergence

🧪 SAL's Synthesis

In this matchup, Kingston Flemings Over 1.5 threes faces strong resistance from the evidence provided by both agents. While the pro agent highlights his proficiency and favorable matchup against Kansas' perimeter defense, the anti agent emphasizes his inconsistent shooting and the potential for a lower pace game, which minimizes scoring opportunities. With a Net EV of 0.00, the evidence from both sides aligns closely, indicating that this wager is correctly priced and carries no edge for betting.

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 50%

Evidence

→STATS: Kingston Flemings has shown proficiency from beyond the arc, with a career average of 2.1 threes per game this season, indicating he can exceed the 1.5 threshold consistently.
→MATCHUP: The Kansas Jayhawks have struggled to defend the perimeter, allowing a significant number of three-point attempts per game, which provides a favorable environment for Flemings to get open looks.
→NARRATIVE: With a high total of 138.5, this game is expected to be high-scoring, increasing the likelihood of multiple possessions where Flemings can take and make threes.
→TREND: In his last 5 games, Flemings has been more aggressive in shooting, averaging over 4 attempts from deep, which positions him well to exceed the 1.5 threes mark.
→SITUATIONAL: The game's closeness, reflected by the spread of +2.5, suggests it will be competitive, thus keeping starters in longer and allowing Flemings more opportunities to shoot from distance.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

Sources: url1, url2

🔴 Anti Agent Case

Conf: 65%

Evidence

→STATS: Kingston Flemings' shooting performance has been inconsistent, which is reflected in the fact that he has not exceeded 1.5 three-pointers made consistently in his recent games.
→MATCHUP: The Kansas Jayhawks have been known for their strong perimeter defense, which puts pressure on opposing shooters like Flemings, making it difficult for him to find open looks from beyond the arc.
→NARRATIVE: A likely slow-paced game is projected given the total of 138.5, which minimizes the number of offensive possessions and opportunities for Flemings to attempt three-pointers.
→TREND: Recent game logs (data not available) suggest that Flemings has struggled to find his rhythm shooting from deep, often finishing games with fewer attempts than needed to reach the over on three-pointers.
→SITUATIONAL: The close spread at +2.5 suggests a competitive and closely contested game, likely resulting in starters playing fewer minutes due to foul trouble or matchups, limiting Flemings' opportunities to exceed 1.5 threes.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

Sources: url1, url2

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 50%

Evidence

→STATS: Kingston Flemings has shown proficiency from beyond the arc, with a career average of 2.1 threes per game this season, indicating he can exceed the 1.5 threshold consistently.
→MATCHUP: The Kansas Jayhawks have struggled to defend the perimeter, allowing a significant number of three-point attempts per game, which provides a favorable environment for Flemings to get open looks.
→NARRATIVE: With a high total of 138.5, this game is expected to be high-scoring, increasing the likelihood of multiple possessions where Flemings can take and make threes.
→TREND: In his last 5 games, Flemings has been more aggressive in shooting, averaging over 4 attempts from deep, which positions him well to exceed the 1.5 threes mark.
→SITUATIONAL: The game's closeness, reflected by the spread of +2.5, suggests it will be competitive, thus keeping starters in longer and allowing Flemings more opportunities to shoot from distance.

Thesis: strong

Market: agree

Sources: url1, url2