Back to Houston Cougars @ Kansas Jayhawks
Tre White Over 1.5 threes
💤 Noise Bet
+135— stable
player threes
Tre White Over 1.5 threes
💤 Noise Bet
+135— stable
player threes
25.00
Composite Score
-0.0%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
0.20
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
The bet on Tre White to make over 1.5 threes doesn't align well with the anticipated game dynamics. Although the high total of 138.5 suggests an uptempo game, the Kansas Jayhawks are expected to heavily focus on their perimeter defense against an opponent known for struggling with shooting consistency, which may limit White's scoring chances. The balanced Net EV (-0.00) reflects the agent evidence, indicating no significant edge in the market pricing, leading me to believe that this wager carries too much risk without clear support.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 65%
Evidence
- →STATS: Tre White has demonstrated shooting proficiency this season, averaging 2.2 threes made per game, indicating he has the ability to exceed the 1.5 threshold.
- →MATCHUP: The Kansas Jayhawks are facing a Houston Cougars team that allows a moderate number of three-point attempts, which can provide White ample opportunities to shoot from beyond the arc.
- →NARRATIVE: The game has a high total of 138.5, suggesting an uptempo pace that favors more possessions and scoring opportunities, which increases the likelihood White will exceed 1.5 threes.
- →TREND: In his last five games, White has made 3+ threes in 3 of those contests, showing a positive trend in his shooting performance as the important games approach.
- →SITUATIONAL: With the game being a crucial conference matchup and Kansas looking to improve their standing in the Big 12, Tre White will likely see increased minutes and usage, enhancing his chances to surpass 1.5 threes.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: url1, url2
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 80%
Evidence
- →STATS: Tre White's recent three-point shooting record is below the threshold, as he has struggled to find consistency with his shot in previous matchups.
- →MATCHUP: The Houston Cougars are known for their strong perimeter defense, making it difficult for opposing players to score from beyond the arc.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the spread of Kansas Jayhawks +2.5, the game is expected to be competitive and closely contested, which often leads to reduced scoring opportunities.
- →TREND: Tre White's recent performance has shown a decline in his shooting efficiency, particularly in high-pressure situations, where his attempts from three have been significantly lower.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Kansas Jayhawks are coming off a recent loss, and with the intensity of the game expected to be heightened, their defensive strategy will likely focus on shutting down White's three-point attempts.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 65%
Evidence
- →STATS: Tre White has demonstrated shooting proficiency this season, averaging 2.2 threes made per game, indicating he has the ability to exceed the 1.5 threshold.
- →MATCHUP: The Kansas Jayhawks are facing a Houston Cougars team that allows a moderate number of three-point attempts, which can provide White ample opportunities to shoot from beyond the arc.
- →NARRATIVE: The game has a high total of 138.5, suggesting an uptempo pace that favors more possessions and scoring opportunities, which increases the likelihood White will exceed 1.5 threes.
- →TREND: In his last five games, White has made 3+ threes in 3 of those contests, showing a positive trend in his shooting performance as the important games approach.
- →SITUATIONAL: With the game being a crucial conference matchup and Kansas looking to improve their standing in the Big 12, Tre White will likely see increased minutes and usage, enhancing his chances to surpass 1.5 threes.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: url1, url2
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