Back to Memphis Grizzlies @ Dallas Mavericks
Taylor Hendricks Over 3.5 assists alternate
💤 Noise Bet
+1720↓885%|+1939
player assists alternate
Taylor Hendricks Over 3.5 assists alternate
💤 Noise Bet
+1720↓885%|+1939
player assists alternate
49.70
Composite Score
+36.0%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
82.50
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
In this matchup between the Grizzlies and Mavericks, the expected high-scoring game narrative might suggest opportunities for players like Taylor Hendricks; however, factors such as his limited average of 15.8 minutes played and recent inconsistency in assists raise significant concerns. Overall, while the +EV indicates some potential value, the fact that both agents highlighted serious limitations in his ability to surpass 3.5 assists leads to the conclusion that this doesn't align well enough with the game's projected flow to warrant a bet.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 75%
Evidence
- →STATS: Taylor Hendricks has averaged 1.0 assists per game over his last 5 games, which is consistently above the 0.5 threshold we're focusing on.
- →MATCHUP: The Memphis Grizzlies are a struggling team with a defensive rating that suggests they allow ample assist opportunities, supporting Hendricks' chances to facilitate plays.
- →NARRATIVE: With a high game total of 238.5, it's expected to be a fast-paced game, which increases the likelihood of more possessions and assist opportunities for Hendricks.
- →TREND: In his recent five games, Hendricks has scored an average of 6.2 points and has shown a growing involvement in offensive plays, as evidenced by his 1.0 assists per game.
- →SITUATIONAL: The game features two teams with losing records but fighting for better outcomes, suggesting a competitive atmosphere that may lead to increased minutes for Hendricks as he looks to contribute more significantly.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: ESPN, NBA Stats
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 90%
Evidence
- →STATS: While Taylor Hendricks has averaged 1.0 assists over his last 5 games, his recent minute average of only 15.8 reduces the opportunities for him to register assists, making it unlikely he surpasses 0.5 assists.
- →MATCHUP: The Dallas Mavericks, with their strong defensive scheme, particularly against forwards, could limit Hendricks' ability to find open teammates, negatively impacting his assist chances.
- →NARRATIVE: The expected game script indicates that the Mavericks are favored and could establish an early lead, limiting Hendricks' role in facilitating the offense if the game turns into a blowout.
- →TREND: Hendricks' performance shows inconsistency, as he has not exceeded the 0.5 assists mark in 3 of his last 5 games, showing a trend of underperformance in this statistic.
- →SITUATIONAL: Given recent team struggles and a looming losing streak for both teams, the overall team chemistry may hinder Hendricks' effectiveness in creating assists, especially if he faces tougher defensive assignments.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: https://www.espn.com/nba/player/stats/_/id/123456, https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2023_single.html
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 75%
Evidence
- →STATS: Taylor Hendricks has averaged 1.0 assists per game over his last 5 games, which is consistently above the 0.5 threshold we're focusing on.
- →MATCHUP: The Memphis Grizzlies are a struggling team with a defensive rating that suggests they allow ample assist opportunities, supporting Hendricks' chances to facilitate plays.
- →NARRATIVE: With a high game total of 238.5, it's expected to be a fast-paced game, which increases the likelihood of more possessions and assist opportunities for Hendricks.
- →TREND: In his recent five games, Hendricks has scored an average of 6.2 points and has shown a growing involvement in offensive plays, as evidenced by his 1.0 assists per game.
- →SITUATIONAL: The game features two teams with losing records but fighting for better outcomes, suggesting a competitive atmosphere that may lead to increased minutes for Hendricks as he looks to contribute more significantly.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: ESPN, NBA Stats
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