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Scotty Pippen Jr Under 11.5 points
💤 Noise Bet
+100— stable
player points
Scotty Pippen Jr Under 11.5 points
💤 Noise Bet
+100— stable
player points
27.70
Composite Score
+5.8%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
22.50
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
The under on Scotty Pippen Jr.'s points at 11.5 makes sense given that he has averaged only 10.2 points over his last five games, which indicates he struggles to score consistently. Coupled with the Grizzlies' strong defensive lineup that effectively limits guard scoring opportunities, it's likely Pippen will again fail to reach the 11.5 threshold, especially in a closely contested matchup where shots will be shared among starters. The Net EV of 0.06 validates this assertion, indicating that the odds may have slightly undervalued this bet based on the agents' insights.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 30%
Evidence
- →STATS: Scotty Pippen Jr. has averaged only 10.2 points over the last 5 games, making it unlikely he will exceed the 11.5 points threshold given his current scoring rate.
- →MATCHUP: The Memphis Grizzlies have a strong defensive lineup which could limit Pippen’s scoring opportunities, as they have been tough on guards in previous matchups.
- →NARRATIVE: With the game projected to be closely contested, game script may lead to a reduced scoring volume for Pippen as starters may share shots rather than him dominating the ball.
- →TREND: Pippen's recent performance shows that he has not consistently reached double figures in scoring, as indicated by his average of 10.2 points in the last five games which hinders confidence in hitting over 11.5 points.
- →SITUATIONAL: Scotty Pippen Jr. is averaging only 20.2 minutes per game over the last five games, and if he continues to receive limited playing time, it will significantly impact his ability to score more than 11.5 points.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: ESPN API
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 20%
Evidence
- →STATS: Scotty Pippen Jr. has averaged 10.2 points over his last 5 games, which is a strong foundation and suggests he is close to reaching 11.5 points.
- →MATCHUP: The Dallas Mavericks have a high-scoring total of 238.5 for the game, which can create opportunities for additional scoring for Pippen Jr. as both teams compete for points.
- →NARRATIVE: Given the current team records and the spread of 4.0 favoring the Mavericks, this game is likely to be competitive, increasing the chances of Pippen Jr. playing 35-40+ minutes, thus enhancing his scoring opportunities.
- →TREND: Pippen has shown a consistent improvement in point production as indicated by his rising scoring average, which mirrors his increased FG% of 40.6% in the last five games, showcasing his growing shooting proficiency.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Memphis Grizzlies are on a three-game losing streak, which opens up the possibility for Pippen Jr. to step up and take on a more significant offensive role as they look to rebound from recent poor performances.
Thesis: strong
Market: agree
Sources: url1, url2
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 30%
Evidence
- →STATS: Scotty Pippen Jr. has averaged only 10.2 points over the last 5 games, making it unlikely he will exceed the 11.5 points threshold given his current scoring rate.
- →MATCHUP: The Memphis Grizzlies have a strong defensive lineup which could limit Pippen’s scoring opportunities, as they have been tough on guards in previous matchups.
- →NARRATIVE: With the game projected to be closely contested, game script may lead to a reduced scoring volume for Pippen as starters may share shots rather than him dominating the ball.
- →TREND: Pippen's recent performance shows that he has not consistently reached double figures in scoring, as indicated by his average of 10.2 points in the last five games which hinders confidence in hitting over 11.5 points.
- →SITUATIONAL: Scotty Pippen Jr. is averaging only 20.2 minutes per game over the last five games, and if he continues to receive limited playing time, it will significantly impact his ability to score more than 11.5 points.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: ESPN API
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