Back to Brooklyn Nets @ Boston Celtics
Noah Clowney double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+1700— stable
player double double
Noah Clowney double double
🚀 Asymmetric Shot
+1700— stable
player double double
43.00
Composite Score
+2.5%
Net EV
50.00
Narrative Fit
10.00
Market Divergence
🧪 SAL's Synthesis
The potential for Noah Clowney to achieve a double-double is conflicted due to the expected game script where the Boston Celtics' strong defense likely limits his impact. While Clowney's increased minutes and motivation may suggest he can step up, his low average rebounds combined with a probable blowout scenario reduce his chances to hit double digits in both points and rebounds. Given the Net EV of 0.03, the bet isn't compelling enough considering the stronger anti-agent evidence pointing to significant limitations on Clowney's performance amidst a challenging matchup.
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 12%
Evidence
- →STATS: In his last five games, Noah Clowney has averaged 17.2 points and 4.8 rebounds per game, suggesting he is capable of achieving double-digit totals in both categories.
- →MATCHUP: The Brooklyn Nets are currently on a six-game losing streak, which may lead Clowney to step up in a challenging matchup against the Boston Celtics, who are strong contenders.
- →NARRATIVE: Given Boston's large spread of -18.0, the game script may see a high volume of minutes for Clowney as Brooklyn attempts to keep pace, potentially aiding his chances of a double-double.
- →TREND: Clowney's recent performance shows a notable increase in minutes per game to 30.6, allowing more opportunities for rebounds and points, vital for achieving a double-double.
- →SITUATIONAL: Although the Nets are struggling with a 15-43 record, being an underdog in this high-stakes game against a playoff contender could motivate Clowney to perform at a higher level, contributing to potential double-digit stats.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
🔴 Anti Agent Case
Conf: 95%
Evidence
- →STATS: Noah Clowney's average rebounds per game is 4.8, which is shy of the 10-rebound threshold required for a double-double; he has not consistently surpassed this mark in prior games.
- →MATCHUP: The Boston Celtics are a strong defensive team and are likely to limit Clowney's opportunities, especially under the boards where they excel, making it challenging for him to gather 10 rebounds.
- →NARRATIVE: The large spread of 18.0 suggests a likely blowout, meaning Clowney may see reduced minutes in a lopsided game, further decreasing his chances to accumulate the necessary stats for a double-double.
- →TREND: Clowney has only achieved a double-double once this season, indicating a pattern of underperformance in terms of points and rebounds required for this accomplishment.
- →SITUATIONAL: The Nets are currently on a six-game losing streak with a dismal record of 15-43, signifying a lack of momentum and confidence that could impede Clowney's performance against a well-rounded team like the Celtics.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
🟢 Pro Agent Case
Conf: 12%
Evidence
- →STATS: In his last five games, Noah Clowney has averaged 17.2 points and 4.8 rebounds per game, suggesting he is capable of achieving double-digit totals in both categories.
- →MATCHUP: The Brooklyn Nets are currently on a six-game losing streak, which may lead Clowney to step up in a challenging matchup against the Boston Celtics, who are strong contenders.
- →NARRATIVE: Given Boston's large spread of -18.0, the game script may see a high volume of minutes for Clowney as Brooklyn attempts to keep pace, potentially aiding his chances of a double-double.
- →TREND: Clowney's recent performance shows a notable increase in minutes per game to 30.6, allowing more opportunities for rebounds and points, vital for achieving a double-double.
- →SITUATIONAL: Although the Nets are struggling with a 15-43 record, being an underdog in this high-stakes game against a playoff contender could motivate Clowney to perform at a higher level, contributing to potential double-digit stats.
Thesis: strong
Market: strongly disagree
Sources: url1, url2
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