Egor Demin double double

💤 Noise Bet

+2000— stable

player double double

Egor Demin double double

💤 Noise Bet

+2000— stable

player double double

33.60

Composite Score

+5.6%

Net EV

35.00

Narrative Fit

19.60

Market Divergence

🧪 SAL's Synthesis

Given the context of the game, where the Brooklyn Nets are struggling defensively and are on a six-game losing streak, it seems likely that the game may skew towards a blowout. This diminishes Expectation for Egor Demin to log significant minutes or stats, which the anti-agent strongly argues against. The Net EV of 0.06 suggests minor value, but the strength of the anti-agent's narrative and the potential impact of a blowout situation make it a riskier proposition, leading to a prudent decision to pass on this bet.

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 20%

Evidence

→STATS: Egor Demin is averaging 3.0 rebounds and 3.0 assists over his last 5 games, which puts him close to the double-double threshold.
→MATCHUP: The Brooklyn Nets are struggling defensively, allowing high scoring and rebounding, which benefits Demin's chances to accumulate stats.
→NARRATIVE: In a game with a large spread (Boston Celtics -18.0), the game may remain close enough for the starters to log significant minutes, allowing Demin the opportunity to rack up stats.
→TREND: In his last game against the Brooklyn Nets, Demin recorded a total of 7 boards and assists combined, indicating he has the potential for a double-double even on lower scoring nights.
→SITUATIONAL: The Nets are on a 6-game losing streak, indicating a likely circumstance where their defense could falter, giving Demin a better chance to achieve a double-double.

Thesis: moderate

Market: slightly disagree

Sources: url1, url2

🔴 Anti Agent Case

Conf: 95%

Evidence

→STATS: Egor Demin's average rebounds and assists per game (3.0) indicate he is well below the threshold needed for a double-double, which is typically 10+ in two categories.
→MATCHUP: The matchup against the Boston Celtics, who are 38-20 and positioned strongly, suggests the game could lead to a blowout, limiting Demin's minutes and opportunities to accumulate stats.
→NARRATIVE: Given the large spread of Boston Celtics -18.0, it's likely that Demin's team will be trailing significantly, resulting in lower minutes for him as the coach may rest starters in garbage time.
→TREND: In Demin's last five games, he has failed to achieve a double-double, showcasing a consistent trend of underperformance in both rebounds and assists.
→SITUATIONAL: With the Brooklyn Nets on a six-game losing streak and showing lackluster performance, Demin may struggle to perform effectively against a strong team, further hurting his chances at a double-double.

Thesis: strong

Market: strongly disagree

Sources: ESPN API, ESPN team data

🟢 Pro Agent Case

Conf: 20%

Evidence

→STATS: Egor Demin is averaging 3.0 rebounds and 3.0 assists over his last 5 games, which puts him close to the double-double threshold.
→MATCHUP: The Brooklyn Nets are struggling defensively, allowing high scoring and rebounding, which benefits Demin's chances to accumulate stats.
→NARRATIVE: In a game with a large spread (Boston Celtics -18.0), the game may remain close enough for the starters to log significant minutes, allowing Demin the opportunity to rack up stats.
→TREND: In his last game against the Brooklyn Nets, Demin recorded a total of 7 boards and assists combined, indicating he has the potential for a double-double even on lower scoring nights.
→SITUATIONAL: The Nets are on a 6-game losing streak, indicating a likely circumstance where their defense could falter, giving Demin a better chance to achieve a double-double.

Thesis: moderate

Market: slightly disagree

Sources: url1, url2